November 30, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gray Gary | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Five Star Perfect | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chasing the Candy | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Audacious Quality | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Boat Over the Hill | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rigged Election | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | On the Turf | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Poser | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Decorated | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Romanoff | 1.40 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sudden Breeze | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Guilty | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Zitarrosa | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hill Shadow | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Baron of Bluegrass | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dig Charlie Dig | 2.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ummu Ummu Ummu | 3.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Major Flirt | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Railmaster | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Force The Pass City Of Laurel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Honest Mischief | 0.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hall Pass | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rohrbacher | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chilly in Charge | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Amundson | 1.80 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hanalei’s Houdini | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Thirty Eight Go Go S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Vault | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Trace of Grace | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jehozacat | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Trolley Ride | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stormologist | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Layla Noor | 4.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beach Diva | 3.50 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shamrock Babe | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Richard W. Small S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Jefazo | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Han Sense | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | O Dionysus | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sunny Ridge | 2.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bobby G | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bonus Points | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Brown | 3.50 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Adventist | 10.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Roaming Union | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Imagining Safely Kept S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Needs Supervision | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bunting | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Mae Never No (IRE) | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Passionof the Nile | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Victim of Love | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Philanthropic | 4.50 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hey Mamaluke | 5.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lady Banba | 12.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Scatrattleandroll | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Slimey | 15.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sweet Sami D | 6.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Las Setas | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | No Mo Lady | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tappin Cat | 1.60 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | River Deep | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Posterity | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blame the Kids | 4.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Toughest ‘Ombre | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chargin Storm | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dothat Dance | 4.50 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Candy Cane Lane | 10.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Carey Times | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Charm City Band | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Super E | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Barrister | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Animate | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Devlin | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Final Proof | 4.50 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Market Mover | 10.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Monster Mason | 15.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lord Tiz | 15.00 | 13.4 | 25-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Captain Harley | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Bourbon Agogo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.