December 5, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Song and a G | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Seanshine | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Emma’s Logic | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Clever Racer | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Noah Knows | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Donna’s Court | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Caeus in Pasadena | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Awesome Rain | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tensas Ten | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brazoswildcat | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kiss of the Wolf | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Sanctity | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | My Cowgirl | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Muskarella | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Our Story | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gladys’ Frontier | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shezjuslikeannie | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | D’freak Nasty | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Our Diamond | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wild for Cathrine | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kateline’s Dreamer | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gentlemen’s Girl | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | L L L College Fund | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Tiz the Time | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Incoming Wire | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Catbalee | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Siberianproduction | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 2 | Last Destiny | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Paddy O’Belle | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rosalene | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Heather Divine | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Toshita Forever | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sassy Susa | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Missholysensation | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bwana Go | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Born Again George | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | My Buddy Chuck | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Natealyze | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sea Treaty | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | A We Bit Flirty | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lucky Lydgate | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Soldiers Letter | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Whathadhappenwuz | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Union Salute | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ms Louisa | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Linda’s Legacy | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Lily Be | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dancepark | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | We Can Dream | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Half Heroine | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stormy Merlot | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Flash Media | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Candy for Three | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Warned | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Outofthisgalaxy | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thats It Imleaving | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Salute the C | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chief Knockaway | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | U S Officer | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Personal Double | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Carson City Cat | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Drewsizzle | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Hatties Jewel | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Shooters Alley | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 6 | C C Harris | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Em C | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hold Me Black | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Weast Hill | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Handful of Stripes | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Sr. Clarky | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Red Clay Magic | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Catalogue | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Reality | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Queeten | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Argument Won | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Honest Woman | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smok’n Rita | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kodiak Sky | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz One Fee | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | See What’s What | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Tdz What a Dream | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kubo Cat | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | C H My Last Dollar | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Toocan Dance | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gone Wishin | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cape Town Willy | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Whooz the King | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Big Band’s Luck | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Braizen Fire | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hope for Change | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Jack’s Kiss | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Charming Bullet | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.