Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, December 5, 2019

December 5, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Song and a G 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Seanshine 4.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Emma’s Logic 3.00 3.8 7-1
11 10 Clever Racer 6.00 5.4 10-1
7 6 Noah Knows 15.00 6.4 12-1
8 7 Donna’s Court 4.50 6.4 12-1
9 8 Caeus in Pasadena 10.00 6.7 13-1
10 9 Awesome Rain 15.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Tensas Ten 12.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Brazoswildcat 8.00 8.2 15-1
6 6 Kiss of the Wolf 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Sanctity 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 My Cowgirl 3.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 Muskarella 8.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Our Story 3.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Gladys’ Frontier 10.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Shezjuslikeannie 10.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 D’freak Nasty 6.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Our Diamond 5.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Wild for Cathrine 12.00 7 13-1
5 5 Kateline’s Dreamer 20.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Gentlemen’s Girl 12.00 8 15-1
11 11 L L L College Fund 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Tiz the Time 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Incoming Wire 2.50 2.8 5-1
2 1 Catbalee 4.00 4.8 9-1
1A 5 Siberianproduction 8.00 SCRATCH
1 2 Last Destiny 8.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Paddy O’Belle 3.50 5.7 11-1
5 5 Rosalene 10.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Heather Divine 6.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Toshita Forever 20.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Sassy Susa 8.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Missholysensation 15.00 9.3 18-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bwana Go 4.50 3.4 6-1
9 9 Born Again George 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 My Buddy Chuck 6.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Natealyze 3.50 5.2 10-1
8 8 Sea Treaty 8.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 A We Bit Flirty 12.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Lucky Lydgate 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Soldiers Letter 10.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Whathadhappenwuz 20.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Union Salute 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Ms Louisa 2.50 3.1 6-1
7 7 Linda’s Legacy 3.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Lucky Lily Be 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Dancepark 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 We Can Dream 5.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Half Heroine 10.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Stormy Merlot 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Flash Media 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Candy for Three 3.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Warned 5.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Outofthisgalaxy 12.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Thats It Imleaving 4.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Salute the C 15.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Chief Knockaway 3.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 U S Officer 15.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Personal Double 10.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Carson City Cat 15.00 7.9 15-1
9 9 Drewsizzle 12.00 8.7 16-1
11 11 Hatties Jewel 2.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Shooters Alley 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 6 C C Harris 3.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Big Em C 3.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Hold Me Black 10.00 4.4 8-1
6 7 Weast Hill 8.00 5.1 10-1
7 8 Handful of Stripes 6.00 5.3 10-1
9 10 Sr. Clarky 10.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Red Clay Magic 4.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Catalogue 3.50 5.6 11-1
2 2 Royal Reality 20.00 8.1 15-1
8 9 Queeten 6.00 8.4 16-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Argument Won 3.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Honest Woman 5.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Smok’n Rita 4.50 4.9 9-1
6 6 Kodiak Sky 3.50 5.1 10-1
2 2 Tiz One Fee 2.50 5.2 10-1
1 1 See What’s What 8.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Tdz What a Dream 2.50 2.8 5-1
10 10 Kubo Cat 3.50 4 8-1
2 2 C H My Last Dollar 4.50 4.3 8-1
3 3 Toocan Dance 15.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Gone Wishin 12.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Cape Town Willy 12.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Whooz the King 20.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Big Band’s Luck 20.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Braizen Fire 20.00 8.1 15-1
7 7 Hope for Change 20.00 8.2 15-1
11 11 Jack’s Kiss 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Charming Bullet 4.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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