Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, December 6, 2019

December 6, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Blahnik 4.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Beauty Buzz 2.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Lots to Like 3.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Spin Control 3.00 3 6-1
5 5 Our Ticket 6.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Hickory Made 30.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Lovely Lucky 10.00 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Uhtred 4.50 SCRATCH
5 3 Felix in Fabula 1.60 4.1 8-1
8 4 Everyonelovesjames 3.00 4.4 8-1
3 2 Southern Bridge 20.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Chantry Flats 6.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Creative Style 3.50 5.2 10-1
4 4 Blockade 2.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Ghost Giant 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Go Poke the Bear 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Channel Island 10.00 SCRATCH
11 5 Quality Choice 15.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Silver Bank 2.50 1.3 2-1
10 10 Bean Indiscreet 5.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Girl’s Wave 6.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Medellin 6.00 3.8 7-1
11 11 Della Lute 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Ladycliff 4.50 4.1 8-1
1 1 Bellamy Bigs 30.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Cemetery V I P 8.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Graetz 10.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Pippi 12.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Kaz’s Kitten 20.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Keep Your Distance 3.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 My Chesa Charm 6.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Cotton Candy Cutie 4.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Free Kitty 4.50 4.2 8-1
3 3 Awesome Quick 5.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Blissful Breeze 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Little Nanny 20.00 6.1 11-1
6 6 Jacqueline D 15.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Stars Wilburn 20.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Princess Mikayah 15.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Speed Talks 8.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Super Twenty Seven 3.50 3.2 6-1
10 10 Summer Belief 5.00 3.4 6-1
12 12 La Negrita 4.00 4.1 8-1
11 11 Big Cyn 12.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 All About Reyana 10.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Honey Bourbon 8.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Annoula 6.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Barker Lane 30.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Over Thirsty 30.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Eye’m Gone 15.00 7.8 15-1
3 3 Felony Melanie 30.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6A 5 Harv Won’t Tap 3.50 2 4-1
5 4 Gypsum Johnny 6.00 2.6 5-1
3A 3 Shalako 3.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Tour de Force 4.00 3.9 7-1
9 7 Neighborhood Bully 12.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Barnacle Bill 12.00 4.7 9-1
7 6 Purimeter 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Real Dan 8.00 SCRATCH
11 8 Seven Lilies 20.00 6 11-1
8 6 Big Thicket 6.00 6.2 12-1
12 9 Sandy Lane 15.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Sir Ballantine 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Eye’s On You 4.50 3.2 6-1
7 7 Trouble for Skylar 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Sweet Meadow Mist 4.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Ella’s Song 15.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 My Last Million 10.00 5 9-1
2 2 Gilda Marie 3.50 5.7 11-1
1 1 Overtime Olivia 15.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Fair Lassie 8.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Wailin Josie 15.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Carlisle Belle 6.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 8 Cash Offer 2.50 4.2 8-1
6 3 Bank Examiner 4.00 4.7 9-1
4 1 Sadie Lady 10.00 5 9-1
8 4 Miss Mystique 6.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 First Appeal 4.50 SCRATCH
5 2 Magic Fairy 2.50 5.9 11-1
7 7 Short Pour 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Lovely La La 3.00 SCRATCH
11 6 Makin’ Out 10.00 7.2 14-1
14 14 She Takes Charge 1.60 SCRATCH
10 5 Forgotten Hero 15.00 7.6 14-1
15 9 Bertranda 10.00 8.6 16-1
12 7 Puffery 8.00 9 17-1
2 2 Beaux Arts 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Andarta 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Central Park S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Alpha Sixty Six 2.00 SCRATCH
10 7 Pixelate 1.60 3.2 6-1
4 4 Old Chestnut 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 City Man 4.50 3.7 7-1
9 9 Chase Tracker 1.80 SCRATCH
5 5 Prince of Pharoahs 5.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Mo Ready 8.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Homeland 2.50 5.6 11-1
6 5 Ashraq 12.00 6.2 12-1
8 6 Mr. Kringle 10.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 8 Paradiso 6.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Fusi 6.00 3.2 6-1
10 10 Lookbothways 2.50 SCRATCH
7 6 Vitanza 6.00 4.5 9-1
12 9 Trumpit 12.00 5.9 11-1
4 3 Miss Ross 15.00 6.1 11-1
13 10 Gray Witch 4.00 6.2 12-1
5 4 Molly’s Nighthawk 12.00 6.4 12-1
6 5 Aris Gal Suz 30.00 6.6 13-1
2 2 Margie Cat 50.00 7.1 13-1
8 7 Sisterwilliamagnes 30.00 7.7 15-1
9 9 Line of Roses 30.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Miss Jill 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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