December 6, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | 7 | Jackie Ems Pal | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
7 | 6 | Desert Thief | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
5 | 5 | Girls Life | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
1A | 8 | Lu Sea | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
1 | 3 | Rake It Up | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
2 | 1 | Nola Fashion | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
4 | 4 | Niece Jackie Davis | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
3 | 2 | Peggys Ouest | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
6 | 6 | Sassy Mallory | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 8 | Andthebandplayedon | 8.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Bayerly Seen | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
5 | 5 | Letsstaypositive | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
3 | 3 | Call On Mischief | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
1 | 1 | Into Humor | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Super Jen | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
4 | 4 | Fed Policy | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Southern Swagg | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
5 | 5 | Cape Rosso | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | Halfourretirement | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Saratoga Vacation | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
7 | 7 | Quisty Boy | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
1 | 1 | Silent Cry | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
6 | 6 | Striking Star | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 1 | Herbs Love | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
5 | 4 | Lunar Orbit | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
12 | 10 | Limage | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
4 | 2 | Trust in Love | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
10 | 8 | Daring | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
7 | 5 | Latina Cantina | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
1 | 3 | Passport Required | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
11 | 9 | Michel It’s Autum | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
9 | 7 | Iyatta | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
8 | 6 | Gottabegolden | 6.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
1A | 14 | Color Fashioned | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
2 | 10 | She’s Our Star | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
2B | 15 | Betty Joy’s Star | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 5 | Shanghai Star | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
13 | 13 | Tricky Tune | 1.80 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | J Rob | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
5 | 5 | Suvorov’s Hero | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | Healing | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
2 | 2 | Yes He Can | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
4 | 4 | Anywhere Road | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
7 | 7 | Tempt Fate | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
6 | 6 | Double Priority | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 8 | Shogood | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
2 | 2 | Channel Won | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
1 | 1 | Sonoma Crush | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
7 | 7 | Whiskey Bravo | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
3 | 3 | Irritator | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
6 | 6 | Senor Blair | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
9 | 9 | Mustang Cat | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
10 | 10 | Warrior’s Kid | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
4 | 4 | Fleetway | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
5 | 5 | Chase for the Gold | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
11 | 11 | Hunker Down | 2.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Defy Expectations | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
2 | 2 | Cherokee Bless | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | Get Directions | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
7 | 7 | La Negra Noche | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
5 | 5 | Razorback Honey | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
3 | 3 | Hip Flask | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
1 | 1 | La Perla | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
8 | 8 | Bluebird Sing | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | He’s the Souperwon | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
9 | 8 | Hero of the Hour | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
8 | 8 | Breakers Point | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
2 | 2 | Keep a Eye On Mike | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
7 | 7 | Blackline | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
1 | 1 | Irish Hokie | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
10 | 9 | Holy Spirit | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
5 | 5 | Tapizart | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
4 | 4 | Mister Mister | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
11 | 10 | Zenman | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
3 | 3 | Falcon Prince | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
12 | 12 | Eat the Ticket | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
13 | 13 | Meaningful | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
14 | 14 | Kaliningrad | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
15 | 15 | Red Hot Fuego | 20.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Letithappencarlos | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
7 | 5 | Outamine | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
3 | 3 | Run to Fame | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
1 | 1 | Eatorbeeaten | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
8 | 6 | Redding Coteau | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
6 | 4 | Venn | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
4 | 4 | Rivers Rising | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
5 | 5 | Knockalittlelouder | 3.50 | SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.