Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, December 6, 2019

December 6, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mr Impressive 3.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Odds Get Even 6.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Fastdriven 4.50 4.2 8-1
9 9 Jefe Grande 3.50 5.7 11-1
4 4 Mountain Tree 10.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Newyork Giant 6.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Sarasota Boy 8.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Iron Drill 30.00 8.6 16-1
1 1 Tatis 20.00 8.9 17-1
10 10 Thankyou Verymuch 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Barbadolla 1.80 2.1 4-1
6 6 She Fled the Scene 4.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Andi’s Kitten 2.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Gambla 10.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Laska 8.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Regan Marie 8.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Gracie’s Dream 50.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Slingin Sammy B 3.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Assume Control 2.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Nothins Free 4.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 She Takes Heart 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Untrue 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Babie Monster 3.50 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Carotari 3.50 2.6 5-1
5 4 Never Have I Ever (IRE) 8.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Explorationist 6.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Spy Ring (IRE) 5.00 4.3 8-1
7 6 Frenchmen Street 4.50 4.4 8-1
6 5 Oak Bluffs 1.60 4.8 9-1
4 3 Running for Riz 20.00 8.3 16-1
3 3 Country Singer 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sizzling Roma 2.50 3.7 7-1
6 6 Beating the Odds 3.50 4.3 8-1
4 4 Shanghaisweetheart 4.50 4.4 8-1
7 7 Susikin 10.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Mia Angelina 8.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Madelyn’s Dancer 12.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 On With God 3.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Puro Blanco 20.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Twirling Star 8.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Smack 1.60 3.5 7-1
10 8 Paynterbynumbers 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 4 Pardon My Heart 15.00 5.4 10-1
7 6 Empire Moon 12.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Tapit to Ride 2.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Fritzi 12.00 6.7 13-1
8 7 Australian Waltz 20.00 8.3 16-1
4 4 My Happy Place 4.00 SCRATCH
9 9 First in Command 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Gran Hombre 3.50 3.5 7-1
7 7 Earthquake 8.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Consilium 6.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Excalibur 6.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Point Winner 3.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Fast Dude 4.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Lodi 12.00 8.6 16-1
5 5 Bundi Bundi 10.00 8.8 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Miss Miami 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 4 True Heiress 10.00 4.3 8-1
8 5 Sweet Yare N Dira 3.00 4.9 9-1
9 6 Miss Claudia 20.00 5.2 10-1
10 7 Blue Eyed Beth 12.00 5.3 10-1
4 3 Vilaro 3.50 5.8 11-1
3 2 Play That Tone 8.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Bright Venezuelan 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Cory Gal 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Distinctly Blue 4.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Glory Roll 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Talkthetalk 3.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Sammie Sunshine 2.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Queen Nekia 2.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 The Gospel of John 10.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Sister Gema 8.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Hunting Season 6.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Faith N Hope 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Isadorable Aida 3.50 2.4 4-1
10 10 Paint the Corners 10.00 4 8-1
9 9 Trilby 6.00 4.7 9-1
11 11 Dixie Princess 15.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Colonels Daughter 4.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Sweet Story 10.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Beach Dreaming 12.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Four K’s 5.00 7 13-1
8 8 Hotty Toddy 8.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Reagan’s Odyssey 30.00 8 15-1
1 1 Big Darling 20.00 8.5 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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