Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, December 6, 2019

December 6, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Total Access 6.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Bubba Seventy Six 8.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Fourteen Carrot 1.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Eje Gama 15.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Awesome At Riedes 3.50 5.3 10-1
1 1 Fifty Seven Chevy 6.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Change the Image 20.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Finbar 5.00 2.5 5-1
2A 2 Parade of Nations 2.50 3 6-1
4 4 Here’s a Jetpack 3.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Liquid Hero 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 It’s a Plane 20.00 5 9-1
5A 5 He’s Not Curly 2.50 5.3 10-1
8 8 Swing Step 5.00 7.7 14-1
1 1 Team Tim 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Olive’s Bumpa 1.40 2.7 5-1
5 5 Super Donna G 5.00 3 6-1
3 3 Moravian Prayer 5.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Steady Love 3.50 4.5 9-1
6 6 Longleggedlaverne 5.00 5.6 10-1
2 2 Frontier Woman 12.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Highland Lass 2.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Its a Journey 2.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Elevated Vision 12.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 No Mo Lady 4.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Turkmenistan 3.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 So Innocent 8.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Align the Numbers 10.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Spicy Meatball 10.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Easy River 15.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Crush It 4.50 4.4 8-1
6 6 Popizar 1.60 4.9 9-1
8 8 Mr Smurthwaite 20.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Xmasinthecity 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Street Prayer 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Absolved 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Malibu Moonstruck 6.00 3 6-1
2 2 Dreaming of Love 2.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Guilty 3.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Forfiftyfiverocket 6.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Imagine Winning 2.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Rolling Palisades 12.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mandette 3.50 2.1 4-1
5 5 Fiduciary Values 4.00 3 6-1
6 6 Big Bad Red 8.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Janelle Dreams 3.50 5.7 11-1
1 1 Cassidy Ave 6.00 6.1 11-1
7 7 Brushing 15.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Lulu’s On the Move 30.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Firth 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Gone Home 3.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Taskinas 3.50 4.2 8-1
9 9 Created Special 15.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Mine to Hold 5.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Fracique 15.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Grays the Bar 12.00 8.3 16-1
8 8 Table Max 8.00 8.4 16-1
2 2 Maximo Strong 20.00 11.2 21-1
3 3 Thai One On 20.00 12.2 23-1
10 10 Irishtown 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Cast the Lot 0.60 2.7 5-1
2 2 Tom Terrific 10.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Perfect Heir 8.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Liar 8.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Play Boy Skoal 20.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Mathew’s Charm 12.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Let Me Ask Bob 20.00 8.8 17-1
3 3 Above It All 12.00 8.9 17-1
9 9 Luv the Painter 30.00 9 17-1
6 6 Cecil the Lion 20.00 10.3 19-1
11 11 Straitouta Congtin 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Monumental Vending 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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