Sports from the Basement

Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks for Friday, December 6, 2019

December 6, 2019 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Big Barrel 2.50 3 6-1
1 1 Fast as Cass 1.40 3.4 6-1
4 4 Dr. Bagley 2.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Big Bad Gary 15.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 R B Eye 6.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Lake Show 30.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bayonce 2.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Awesome Alessandra 3.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Aurora Night 4.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Kristi’s Tiger 5.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Slewbury Park 2.50 6.4 12-1
3 3 Chromes Lil Sis 20.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mo Dinero 3.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Docktarri 10.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Grab the Munny 3.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Savagery 2.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Two Fifty Coup 2.50 4.2 8-1
3 3 Rineshaft 12.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Ps Bettin On You 8.00 3 6-1
5 4 Desert General 2.50 3.3 6-1
8 7 Short of Ez 6.00 4 7-1
1 1 Kenny Benny 12.00 5.9 11-1
7 6 Tiz Love 8.00 5.9 11-1
10 9 Nova 20.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Burn Me Twice 3.50 7.1 13-1
6 5 Royal Seeker 6.00 7.7 14-1
3 3 Buster Douglas (BRZ) 10.00 11.5 22-1
4 4 Chrisiscookin 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 7 Hardcore Troubador 3.50 2.6 5-1
10 8 Italiano 2.50 4.7 9-1
4 2 Heartfullofstars 3.00 4.9 9-1
8 6 Oil Can Knight 4.00 5.2 10-1
7 5 Portando 12.00 5.3 10-1
6 4 Conquest Cobra 12.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Great Blake 20.00 5.7 11-1
5 3 Saratoga Morning 12.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Owning 0.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Midnight Special 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Love a Honeybadger 3.00 3 6-1
1 1 Tijori 2.50 3.4 6-1
5 5 Silken Spy 5.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Miss Fia 3.50 4.3 8-1
3 3 Time for Ebby 15.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Donut Girl 6.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Edna 6.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Saving Sophie 3.00 3.6 7-1
8 5 Visual Magic 3.50 4.2 8-1
3 2 Vegas Palm 4.00 4.3 8-1
2 1 Cover Version 8.00 5.4 10-1
6 4 Paige Runner 12.00 5.6 11-1
9 6 Catch the Eye 20.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Prance 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Lily’s Storm 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Sunriser 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Unicorn 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Harliss 2.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Wild Cat Canyon 6.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 U S Hero 4.00 6.7 13-1
11 11 Bob Again 15.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Acclamation King 30.00 8.6 16-1
2 2 Ziyanair 10.00 8.8 17-1
9 9 Son of a Queen 20.00 9.2 17-1
10 10 L’Engineer 15.00 10.2 19-1
4 4 Artcrilic 20.00 11.1 21-1
3 3 Ridgeway 2.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Suezaaana 0.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Street Machine 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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