Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Friday, December 6, 2019

December 6, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Google It 2.50 2 4-1
8 7 Priceless Will 3.50 2.6 5-1
9 8 Mnemba Island 6.00 4.2 8-1
7 6 Samuel H 10.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Liquid Louie 8.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Owen’s Souper Moon 12.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Society Misfit 20.00 9.5 18-1
2 2 Komunist 20.00 11.4 22-1
6 6 Embrace My Uncle 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Sweet Brynlie 2.50 3.7 7-1
10 8 Dolly Stormy 8.00 3.7 7-1
9 7 Springdetti 3.00 3.8 7-1
7 5 Hurricane Emily 4.00 4.7 9-1
4 2 Gimbala 20.00 6 11-1
6 4 Jaya Ho 15.00 6.7 13-1
5 3 Sugati 10.00 9.2 17-1
3 1 Capture Your Heart 20.00 10.3 19-1
1 1 Bel Ayr Bay 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Giovanna Ponti 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Dancing Doll 6.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Souper Hot 10.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Captain Handsome 2.50 3.9 7-1
8 8 Serengeti Cat 2.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Vividari 3.50 4.6 9-1
7 7 Discreet Bear 20.00 6.1 11-1
4 4 Gasconade 20.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Alacritous 20.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Legal Gump 20.00 9.6 18-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Desdemona 6.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Maritimeconnection 3.00 6 11-1
6 6 Audrey Grace 8.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Ami’s Link 4.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 Special for You 10.00 7.3 14-1
11 11 Via Ann 10.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Not Orbinary 5.00 8.1 15-1
3 3 Sothatsthewayitis 15.00 8.5 16-1
7 7 Maximum Entropy 12.00 10.5 20-1
1 1 Hanchy 12.00 12.9 24-1
2 2 Show Me the Prize 20.00 13.5 26-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 More Chances 2.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Souper Watson 6.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Attilio 8.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Risetothechallenge 8.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Lynchburg 3.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Smiling Silas 10.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Enchant Me 20.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Stormy Soul 3.50 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Tap the Mojo 4.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Brutus 3.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Encierro 2.50 3.8 7-1
8 8 Hit the Ticket 6.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Frankie Barone 8.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Zephan 20.00 8.3 16-1
6 6 Burning Man 12.00 8.7 16-1
3 3 Miracle Silver 20.00 9.3 17-1
9 9 Self Inflicted 10.00 10.5 20-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Lord Wimborne (IRE) 2.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Conquest Lemonraid 10.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Fire for Effect 5.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Roaring Forties 10.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Hold’emforransom 8.00 5 9-1
7 7 Malibu Uproar 3.50 5.1 10-1
9 9 Dragon Bay 8.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Inclusive 20.00 7 13-1
6 6 Douglas Road 6.00 8.4 16-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Victor’s Destiny 2.50 3.3 6-1
9 9 Pink Lemonade 5.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Strolling Posse 10.00 4.6 9-1
11 11 Charlie’s Game 10.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Northern Crusader 4.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Soul n’ Spirit 20.00 8.1 15-1
12 12 Recruit 20.00 8.9 17-1
2 2 Maximum Sentence 8.00 9.5 18-1
10 10 Awesome Flight 20.00 10.3 20-1
3 3 Gideon’s Sword 10.00 10.8 20-1
5 5 Second Encore 20.00 16.2 31-1
7 7 Forehead Fred 20.00 17.6 33-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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