December 7, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bourbon Streak | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Monumental Vending | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Snidely | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Marden | 2.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Still I Wonder | 6.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Yes Man | 6.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Itsknownasthebern | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | My Queen Michelle | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One Two Three Go | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grace Isabella | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shecor | 4.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Don’tbaggagecheck | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Atlantic Avenue | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Politely S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Anna’s Bandit | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Las Setas | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Majestic Reason | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Phantom Shot | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Three Hawk | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Limited View | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Onemoregreattime | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Smokin Nitro | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cozy Lover | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Uplifting | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Confessor | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Articulator | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tap the Mark | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Trifor Gold | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pretty Good Year | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Torch of Truth | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Relentless Lion | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sapphire Shilling | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Can’t Pass It Up | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Maryland Juvenile Filly Championship S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Miss J McKay | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hello Beautiful | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Project Whiskey | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Trinity | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Naughty Thoughts | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stickingtogether | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dancer’s Melody | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hufflepuff | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lookin Dynamic | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Maryland Juvenile Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Laddie Liam | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tommy Shelby | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Raging Whiskey | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sir Back in Black | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Stone Courageous | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mine Not Mine | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Monday Morning Qb | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Literally | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | The Quantico Kid | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Howard And Sondra Bender Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lewisfield | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alwaysmining | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Still Having Fun | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Clubman | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Taco Supream | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Oldies But Goodies | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fear the Turtle | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sonny Inspired | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Showalter | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Eastern Bay | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Whiskey and You | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | He’s Not Tapit | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Deshackled | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Heart Hero | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rock the Comet | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Five Card Draw | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flash Is Back | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fiya | 3.50 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Captain Harley | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.