December 8, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1 | Broadway Jones | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Capone’s Loft | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2B | 5 | King’s Prayer | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bing Bing | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Southern Light | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Heza Fortune | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | It’suptoyoupal | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Martin G | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Thirstyamericangal | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quiet Dawn | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wicked Valentine | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Summer Express | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Goingtoagogo | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Valentines Day | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lauralee Cocodree | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Georgia Dawn | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Have No Fear | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | My Pledger | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Aunt Bae Bae | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | My Madelyns On | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Betty Joy’s Star | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lagniappe | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Back Page Star | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Brenda’s an I Full | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eye Craft | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tough Kicks | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Marquee Moment | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Little Snip | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mill Falls | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Becky’s Dude | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rivetrix | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Swinging Galaxy | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Linea Amarilla | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Terps | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Purim King | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Warnock Springs | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Love That Warrior | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shaq Jack | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Beau Oxy | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Gray Blur | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Devil’s Drama | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Disclosure | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Perfect Star | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sea Bee Salute | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Automate | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Oh My Aching Arch | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Zenucci | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cafe Du Monde | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Greeley Went West | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Power Jet | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Social Misfit | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tensas Talk | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rifle Man | 4.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cabo’s Rumor | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Star Banjo | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gracida | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Carli | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Korat Queen | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Celestial Dream | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fika | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wings of Fury | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Close to Me | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scary Animal | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Curlin Beauty | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Revealing Quality | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sugar Plum Fairy | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Starlight Sister | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Cajun Creed | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kapenta | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hideaway Hero | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crocodile Jacques | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dutchman | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ide B a Classic | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hansen’s Holiday | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | From Now On | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rollwithit | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Shaniko’s Secret | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Boston Bob | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grand Argument | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.