December 11, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bella Figura | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Monsoon Rain | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cobra Sophie | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cape Mist | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Windjammer (GER) | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Slydini | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Massey Hall | 1.40 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Fuerst | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Harper P M | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Victorious Bear | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dancing Derek | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vaughan | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Rock River | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ice Blue | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Frac Attack | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Good to Me | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sativa | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Baddest Blues | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Oxesome | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Big Hambone | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kilkenny Prospect | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tall Water | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Capture the Ride | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | He’s a Gizmo | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spanish Matador | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Line of Kings | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Awesome Game | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Under City Lights | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dyna’s Gamble | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A Gershwin Tune | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bullet Speed | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mazinaw Legend | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | San Nicola Brew | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nu Baby Daddy | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Ladies’ Man | 8.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Glenville Gardens | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Florida Won | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Differential | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | He’s Bankable | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Titochip | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Coleyville | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rocket Plan | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Desert Poem | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Love Daddy | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alice’s War | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crumlin Queen | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Peace Seeker | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mystic Nile | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stop Who’s That | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lookin for Eight | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Admirals Cove | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gaultier (FR) | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Follow My Lead | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Badjeros Boy | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cool Gizmo | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Street Legal | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Duke of Miami | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sine Metu | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Red Bo | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Conquest Eliminatr | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.