December 12, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Royal Edition | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 3 | Warriors Gem | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wellfield | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 4 | Perdido Bay | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gato Del Banco | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Buddy Rocket | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Hitthegroundrunnin | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Surge Pricing | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Money Trend | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fist of Rage | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Go for Moonshine | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Peppermint Crunch | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Homefortheweekend | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | House Lights | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Confederate Yell | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I’m d’Cat | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Saints’ Girl | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Galaxy Thirtysix | 1.20 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Toomuch | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Andthebandplayedon | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Callmeonmycellfone | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cohenscollegefund | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Spiritual Warfare | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Senor Friday | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Uptown Ruler | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Arpinella | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Lemon Blitz | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Omen of Change | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sho Poke | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Weekly Call | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Papillon | 10.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Souper Catch | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Chanson La Belle | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shesarockstartoo | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Georgia Dawn | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zola | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gator Proud | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fuhrcry | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ezee Enough | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Whata Perfect Day | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Oxburger | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ekaterinoslav | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trivista | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lookin High | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Attorney Tim | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Patriot | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tornado Boy | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Kai Baby Kai | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Social Afleet | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alterana | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Ty Fu Peg | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Drilling Report | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Days of Summer | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Half Pipe | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | C F Johnathan | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Real News | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Latent Revenge | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tina’s Exchange | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Don’task Don’ttell | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lawton | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Jake the Band Man | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Vivid Verse | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 7 | Overnight Success | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Carter Cat | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1A | 12 | Boyfriend Material | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Sir Truebadour | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Drena’s Star | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Nana’s Joy | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Marcia Rose | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Supersport Sally | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Weavemeawinr | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lil Kylie | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Meg and Clair | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Casual Cool | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.