December 13, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Petalite | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Anydayisherday | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Freddymo Factor | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dancing Slippers | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | That Is Key | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4A | 4 | Too Fast to Pass | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Harv Won’t Tap | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7A | 7 | Gypsum Johnny | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Langdarma | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mobridge | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Six | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Barnacle Bill | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Nasty Affair | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smiles From Sadie | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Solitary Gem | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Abraxan | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lem Me Have It | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gunboat Diplomacy | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stonewalker | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dovey Lovey | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Camorra | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Promise Me Roses | 1.80 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tayler’s the Boss | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Zandora | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Evan’s Nice Now | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Parlapiano | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flaming June | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ocean Conquest | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Deja Raconte | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Funderella | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Alreadycelebrating | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Freudycatfever | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Flattering Eyes | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Barbara P | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Simmering Miss | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Miss Jill | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sassy Secret | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Moon Heist | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Teletype | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wisconsin Night | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Macho | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Can U Handle This | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cadeau de Paix | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shesasuperfreak | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Minit Maus | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bull Feathers | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bourbon High | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kosciuszko | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Light the Posse | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Playthatfunnymusic | 1.40 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Five Star Bunt | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flash Drive | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Speightful Kitten | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hot Diggitty | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sixteen Tons | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tapizearance | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Unbridled John | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Robber Bob | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rejected Again | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Money Ride | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Fortune Found | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Super Wicked Charm | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | John Want Revenge | 50.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big’s Gray Day | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.