December 13, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Great Go Go | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Master Distiller | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Winston’s Way | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Compass Course | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Straitouta Congtin | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Winsomemoney | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | H R H Jellybean | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Naughty Thoughts | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Landing Zone | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Paisley Singing | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wiggle and Jiggle | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Race | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Amphitrite | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | My Eminence | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sparty | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blame the Kids | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Try Flying | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hayne’s Fever | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Expect Drama | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bob’s My Uncle | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Can He Shine | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Unbridled Outlaw | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Too Much Minutia | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mary’s Jewel | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mae Sai Princess | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shake D Moon | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Passion’s Image | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Arbutus | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Jumping Michelle | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mia Gift | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bird Traffic | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pantyhose | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pearl Gem | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shanghai Jewel | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stay Smart | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Our Star | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Warm | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Market Money | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Crossing | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Slewzer | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Greasedlightning | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wee Monie Creek | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bath And Tennis (IRE) | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Grecian Dancer | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Majestic Pic | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hug a Tree | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Polarization | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dear Charlotte | 10.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Radar | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Tapping the Kitty | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Sudden Brilliance | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Orbette | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Yira | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Omni Diva | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Street Nonsense | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Evocative | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Factorintheheat | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Windy Lane | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Naturally Quick | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gauzy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | R True Sensation | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Towson | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flirtation Walk | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Straight Madness | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lady Kim | 1.80 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Weekends for Work | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Close the Deal | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Barbsgray Lion | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Bay Express | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Lookin Perfect | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Determined Mission | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Boom Boom Gone | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Trafficplan | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Hill Shadow | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Spicy Meatball | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mice and Men | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Successful Zip | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rip Rap Riley | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Time Flies By | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Baptize the Boy | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bandito | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Odds On | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Factor It In | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Belmont Ride | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | My Beau | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Revolutionary Road | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Like What I See | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.