December 13, 2019 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Twitter Storm | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Afleet Connection | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Brew | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Giovanna Ponti | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Capture Your Heart | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Liddyup | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Perfect Forester | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Walkabout Creek | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Be the Change | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dancing Quietly | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Forest Brother | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Big Black Storm | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fine Grit | 10.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kitten’s Solution | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | The Boss Factor | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Serengeti Cat | 1.20 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Executive Sight | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bitethebulletbro | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Victor’s Way | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Robusto | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tracking Gold | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | G Prince of Silver | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Our Uncle Drew | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bokermin | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rapid Fire | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Snow | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stop the Humbug | 10.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hey Congrats | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Petite Amie | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vinpearl Valentine | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Madame Bovery | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ring in Silence | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | South Beach Sassy | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pierian | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wind Spun | 3.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gabby’s Ballerina | 8.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Betwixting | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Goldmine Glory | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Aunt Tillie | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Touch of Rouge | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Storm Gauge | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Podgora | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Roche’s Point | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Super Chocolate | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cindervella | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Discreet Bear | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Northern Kiss | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Piquet | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I’ll Take the Gold | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Desdemona | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Vision | 1.60 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Super Patriotic | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sabina Park | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Swilling | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bay Harbor | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Joyful Cat | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Avie’s Sky | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cherubic | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Choose Hope | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hello Friends | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Aloha Wilko | 20.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mrs. Del | 20.00 | 15.6 | 30-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.