December 15, 2019 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gottaflathaveher | 1.40 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Redeemed Spirit | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Candy Brown | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bankin On an Angel | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Solea | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Super Holy Juno | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Linea Verde | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Slams Saint | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tapdancing Girl | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | First Talent | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Higher Purpose | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Belmont Ride | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nautical Nature | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hargus | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Day the Music Died | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kosher Kontract | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hero’s Hope | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Casper Slew | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fort Royal | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ziggy Mon | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cool Man Cletus | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Maranatha | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Magical One | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mystic Times | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ready to Run | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Gone Home | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Irishtown | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thirst for Quality | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Two Doors Down | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nonna’s Glory | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yep | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | El Bombaso | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fracique | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Just Chill Out | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kevin Witte | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Just Go With It | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Ol Buddy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Marco Island | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nico Bree N Teej | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Absolved | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Revolutionary Road | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Benintendi | 1.60 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cheytac | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Crusader | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Courtesy Shuffle | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Calypso Ghost | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mayas Miracle | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Melisande | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Baby Bam Bam | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smoking Baby | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Down With Brown | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fair Winds | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Special Power | 10.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Unstopabull Belle | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cant Hold Her Back | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | My Lila | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Bow Maker | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Normalizeddeviance | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bird King | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Carey Times | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Super John | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Court Sky | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Confusion Baby Boy | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | McElmore Avenue | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wasjuannowpaul | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Yukon Eric | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Nightmare | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kateandlillian | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vampish | 2.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Little Laughs | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Rozina | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lady Loose | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Majorie Mugs | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9A | 9 | Fire Command | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Perfect Party Girl | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Floating Rate | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Sharp | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Conquesthardcherry | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kukulkan | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Goodluckchuck | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Up Against It | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lotto | 1.60 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | First Fighter | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Start With Yes | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Im the Game | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.