December 18, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mark of the Z | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zypto | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Around the Dial | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Club Soda | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Square the Circle | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pryor | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Future Abundance | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Not Fade Away | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Duncastle | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr Leo | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hurricane Dancer | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Horse Doctor | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Seminole Warrior | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kalo | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mischief’s Machine | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Flash of Silver | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Latina Cantina | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Guestar | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lookin Back At It | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wind Zee | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wasnt Joking | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bobbies Reason | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Honduras Girl | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | My Half | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Interslew | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Milagros | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 8 | Strut the Ring | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Resilient Rick | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Run Tappy | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Frost Or Frippery | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Cadet Captain | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tito Tonight | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Thunder Mesa | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alittlevodka | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Baires Boy | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sumner | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Round Hill | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Containment | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Broken Key | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Got Gold | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Flirtyflirt | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Accustomed to Hope | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Widdle Giant | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Linda’s Legacy | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aly’s Charm | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sneaky Freak | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lil Ashley B. | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gilded Apple | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | Berning Repent | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Quinn Murphy | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Little Code | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Embarrassing | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Gymnastic | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Love On Tides | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Glance | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Ruby Sioux | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | N. D. Free | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | La Flor | 15.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Unfading Beauty | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 12 | Lady Cleopatra | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Warrior’s Charge | 1.20 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Frolic More | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Altito | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Gun It | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Broth | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dictator | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Newellton | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Discernment | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Cobra Casablanca | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I Love to Race | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Awesome One | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tell Tonto | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hermajestycommands | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Allonge | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Magic in Malibu | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Valya’s Vengeance | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Gold Star Mama | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Majestic Queen | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Georgia Clay | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sovol | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Amphibian | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Run to Fame | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Taft’s Lil Boy | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alma Derby | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Linea Amarilla | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Man Alive | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Redding Coteau | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Seeley | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mira | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fire Giant | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.