December 19, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Little Man E Dubai | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Speedactus | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Jack’s Kiss | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Hawkins Lane | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Ambassador House | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Charlie Gulch | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Zoltar | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Braizen Fire | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Bayou Ruby | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Gone Romancing | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Whooz the King | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Jerrys Pridenjoy | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Praetorian | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Landofthepharaohs | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Mo U No | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Easter Snap | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Gold Buyer | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Taken Back | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Book | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Whatdatpay Ray | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Amandas Lightening | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Laken Longlegs | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Western Star | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | One Proud Boy | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jeb’s Lucky Eight | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carlos Fine Custom | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fly Guy Rak | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | American Soldiers | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Punky Monkey | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Forestdungone | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zendelphian | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sheer Mayhem | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Krafty Boy | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | It’s Mike’s Turn | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Exton | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Song N a Cat | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Alex’s Turn | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pops Legacy | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Drewsizzle | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mr. Graceful | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Lucky Inferno | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 5 | Chatain’s Eagle | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Last Destiny | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Sassy Susa | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Smart N Holy | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Paddy O’Belle | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Madelyn’s Time | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fickle Flash | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady King | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 7 | The Last Gig | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Song and a G | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Yes My Son | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Buffon | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hoops Cigar | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Friend of Dubai | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Vincenator | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brazoswildcat | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kiss of the Wolf | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Minister of Gold | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sanctity | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | My Perfect Graydar | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Free Cover | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 8 | Taylor’s Spirit | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Crescentcitypretty | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Summer’s Indy | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Varlebena | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Best Kept Secret | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zarelda | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Suzie’s Dream | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Asdrubal | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Half a Million | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Demeanor | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sharp Henny | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Her High Road | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tiz the Time | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Camrynsbigtimebaby | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Ole Black Magic | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Richards Dream | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Boyz Done It | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ray’s Kimua | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gone Wishin | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Luke the Drifter | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sharp Memories | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Don’t Look | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tiz Can Fly | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mainichi Harbor | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Slam the Bank | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bachchan | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.