December 19, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Stella’s Surprise | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bernadettes Vision | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mike’s Song | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beadsinthetrees | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Compromising | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cherry Twist | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bizzarrini | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Carson’s Prospect | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Turner Time | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | O’L Red | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spectrolite | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Channel Won | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Future Ruler | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Catalogue | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Just Blaze | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Driven by History | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Healing | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Pray for Jake | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Trueno | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Rancho Bargo | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lightning Lee | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Legendary Hero | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Suvorov’s Hero | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Conquistador Show | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Royal Alexandra | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spartanburg | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Fancy Pants Jen | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sabe Marcelete | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gabby’s Half | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gio Angel | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Crimson Feline | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | La Louisiane | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Pepper Ann | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Swifty Cat | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | She’s Our Star | 30.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | He’s the Souperwon | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Afleet Roger | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Expect Ice | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Happy Go Lucky | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Enumclaw | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tap King | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Holy Spirit | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Messed Up | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cratus | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Morning Stride | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blue Harbor | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trumpi | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Son of a Saint | 20.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Murry Spur | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Antarctic | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Executive Bonus | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Big Bobby Brown | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Domikate | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | A He’s an O’Prado | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wildcard Prado | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Killeen | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Mucho Macho Bets | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Italian Charm | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Divine Queen | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Aiken to Be | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Classy Act | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Skamania | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Pretty Lucky | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Naughty Me | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Dean Martini | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Duke of Carthania | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cleanup Time | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Icecap | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Unthrottled | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spanish Kingdom | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Small Talk | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Jupestar | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Benelux | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | You Say | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dynamo Kid | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Wicked Worry | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Deanos Cape | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Double Priority | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Whacudposblygowrng | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Time to Rome | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Magical Candy | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Going Japanese | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bing Bing | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Beforehand | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | First Metal Count | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 8 | Silver Galaxy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 10 | Heza Fortune | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.