December 21, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rose Larue | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unbridled Harlan | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She’s So Bossy | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shanghai Star | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Mabelee | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Our Lady’s Prayer | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | One Special One | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | The Aurelia Factor | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Shallow River | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ta | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Sister Annette | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lovely Teton | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ballerina Boogie | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Little Fire | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ella’s Lil Star | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lodi Mist | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Louisiana Special | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tambeaux Fina | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Saber Cut | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | What’s My Doin | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Stop the Friend | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Golden Smiles | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blue Ridge Heat | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Grace Forever | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Twn Palmysdestiny | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | American Rebel | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Run Now Estella | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Why God | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bye Bye Shanghai | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Maddy’s Pro | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Get It to Geaux | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Texican | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | No One Greater | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Toga | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Uncle Bird | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Valid Prospector | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Debriyn | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | My Little Rockstar | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Curlins Vow | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Rose Crown | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Twn Tawfeers Party | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Dawn | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Conspicuous Line | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cabeza de Tortuga | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tis a Moon Gem | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Little Diva | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sundial Star | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Cleverinda | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silver Maid | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lucky Queen | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Hailey’s Day | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Miss Bitters | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Atchata | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fancy Mallory | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flash Hands | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hiclass Production | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Our Anabelle | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Preemptive | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | She’s Seventeen | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Holdonaminit | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Any Ole Thing | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hopeitsamiracle | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kim’s Wilcat | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kaydees in Town | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Deep End | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Christeana’s Kiss | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zarb’s Winnie | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Karate Hottie | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ginny B | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Matapan | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gorgeouswitha G | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lady C | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Perfect Reins | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cuckoo Kenia | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Reachreachreach | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Flat Out Flirty | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miami Rose | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Knights Ransom | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Mischievous Girl | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | G Nanny | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tribute’s Pride | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Side Swing | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Broke and Praying | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ladie Verrazano | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Always Custom Love | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mayreese | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lil Duchess | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Storm On the Mesa | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | My Little Charlie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.