December 22, 2019 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Dancing Kiki | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Courageous Girl | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My My Michelle | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Topaz Bride | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Imprsstheprofessor | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tornado Crossing | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | White Hot | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Monaco Princess | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stand for the Flag | 1.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Daria’s Angel | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Matty’s Magnum | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No Hayne No Gayne | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Annie Rocks | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Love of My Heart | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Champagne Lady | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kansas Kis | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | French Cafe | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wishes and Dreams | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rude Awaking | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Roma Carpe | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Freudian Sip | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Autostrade | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ari’s Naughty Luca | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Desert Lights | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Booby Trap | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fleet Warrior | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flatexcel | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Latin Love Bug | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | La Negrita | 1.40 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Speed Talks | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | All About Reyana | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Cyn | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kefaliani | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sky Tap | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rewarded | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Holiday Belle | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Luzmaria | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Musical Thunder | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | She Takes Charge | 1.20 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Awesome Alana | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cathy Naz | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Viradia | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wadadli Princess | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alvernia | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Wait a Minute | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Aristocratic | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Reed Kan | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Earned Success | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blessed Halo | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Monteleone | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bitumen | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Sicarii | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Swiping Dan | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Newly Minted | 0.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Proximity Bias | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Maiden Beauty | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Private Beach | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Norma’s Charm | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Take Charge Aubrey | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hollywood Glory | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1A | 1 | Enliven | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8A | 8 | Nonsensical | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Gravesend S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Firenze Fire | 0.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wonderful Light | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Happy Farm | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | T Loves a Fight | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | No Distortion | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Seethisquick | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 11 | Our Stormin Norman | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Violent Delights | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Alphalfa | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I Saw It All | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Legion Storm | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Running Violence | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Coach Villa | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Givetheman a Cigar | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Larceny | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Beach Front | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Impunity | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Quintarelli | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Moonbounce | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | No More Miracles | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.