December 22, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bibiana | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Feeling Funny | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Merseyside | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Myfirstexwife | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Champagne Train | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Philly Special | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Capture a Victory | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bajan Girl | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Drawntomunny | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bucky’s Drama | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pivotal Woman (FR) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Time for Fun | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Island Boy | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Septemberten | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fearless | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Film Fan | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Beau Luminarie | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr Dave | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Take Charge Tina | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Augusta Moon | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Tizzire | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Rosa Star | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Champagne Horizon | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Comic Kitten | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Barbadolla | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Morelikelythannot | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Squeezadios | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lil Commissioner | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Empire Power | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gray Beau | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Winking At Thedude | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr Chaplin | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Song River | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Masque d’Oiseau | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Queen of Shades | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Norma’s Love | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Grudge | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fujairah | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Randiabby | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Akor | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mandamus | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ms. Malevolence | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Triple Scout | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Teenage Kicks | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aunt Nadine | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Bite the Stars | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sweden | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Screamin’ By | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Seize the Empress | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Beam of Light | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flowzano | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Commanding Lady | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Princess Coro | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Sister Hanan | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Talabaat | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Keepthe Main Thing | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lady Rosalie (IRE) | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Offspring | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Wajeeha | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Perfect View | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Colorado Class | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Soul Kitchen | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Canadian Sunset | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | My Happy Place | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | General Obvious | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | False Accusation | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Eric the Salesman | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sky Point | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fulgencio | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shidoshi | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Two Step Slew | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tangible | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Peru (GB) | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mean Mary | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Una Luna | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cap de Creus | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Amazing Audrey | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kitten’s Finest | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Aspen Summer | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Beale Street | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | So Charming | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alizee | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | With Herself (IRE) | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ygritte | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Fun Paddy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon War | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Magic Tapit | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Scars Are Cool | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Identifier | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Noble Drama | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Uncle Mojo | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Colour Guard | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Green Mansions | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Baby I’m Perfect | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Champagneonme | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 5 | Trixie’s Time | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Note to Selfie | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Enlisting | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Free to Fly | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Dubaian | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Oblio’s Wish | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Samis Car | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Algodonal | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Starship Gussie | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Cha Cha Heels | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.