December 27, 2019 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Blondie Lox Babe | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Custom for Carlita | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Daylight Deelite | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kehron’s Creed | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Paper Doll | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Mallory’s On | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Singing Ontherail | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Date | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Limage | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Color Fashioned | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Daring | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Trust in Love | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Michel It’s Autum | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Our Lucky Star | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Dabblin Channel | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lemon Drop Twist | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Take Charge Taylor | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Iyatta | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 7 | Strict Vow | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Georgia Clay | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Every Single Day | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Queen | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ruby Q | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Freshman Class | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thinkitasadonation | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Gemo Rain | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Baozun | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Pirate | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Olympic Romp | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rosslare Harbour | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yadi | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | D W Strong | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Maspero | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Nicely Nicely | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Korat Queen | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Badgeri Candy | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Close to Me | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Run Ballerina | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Veilazig | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Forever Shining | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Oxbowindy | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Always Grace | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Indomitable Spirit | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Gabriel’s Horn | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Calimambo | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Run Rocket | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Jus Lively | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 7 | Social Misfit | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Lucky Andy | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | King Cake | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Chase for the Gold | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | My First Guitar | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Star Banjo | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Magic Vow | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Papa’s Boy | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Pursuit of a Dream | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 13 | Rifle Man | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Bayou | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Neyney and Rad | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Production | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Two Utes | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shot On Windy Hill | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Half a Bite | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dream On Mister | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Venn | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Letithappencarlos | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Banks Island | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Good One | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Kiang | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Kingpin | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Cosmic Cat | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Sky Ride | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | East Lex | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Prioritizer | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hoffa | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 1A | 13 | Muscadine | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Broadcast Legend | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Revved | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Brew Crew | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 14 | Steadytillready | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Aloo Ghost | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Edition | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tommytoshort | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Strong Current | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flashy Image | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gato Del Banco | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dickinson’s Image | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Buddy Rocket | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.