December 28, 2019 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Scrimmage | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Canrunalittle | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Streaker | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Charming Bullet | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Steel Drums | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Little Wise Guy | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smooth Warrior | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Donna’s Council | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ten Tap Dances | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brahms’ Regal Gal | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Catbalee | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Adieu Mallory | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ranger Connection | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Orthodrive | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Misty Ice | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Star Countess | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | She’s a Smart Cat | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Canadian Girl | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mostcourageous | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Kohensrising | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Little T | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Crapaud | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Invader | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | We Can Dream | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wish for Interest | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Slippers | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Overly Sweet | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Something for Mama | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ideal Mallory | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Orthodox | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Old Time Girl | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Half Vicki | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Curlins Vow | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bellarmine | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Watch My Smoke | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thats It Imleaving | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Salute the C | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hot Zapper | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Hawks Peak | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Passing Simon | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Run Away Ralph | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Maurice | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Matt’s Pride | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fashionably | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gray Haze | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Pueblo West | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Infinite Solutions | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Taylor’s Lightning | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Quincy Be Quik | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Jamie | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Aztec Song | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shanghai Nights | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cairo King | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Majestic John’s | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Humphrey | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jersey Cat Tale | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Saving Argument | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Freedomfi | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Drewpower | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ride to the Wire | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Patriot | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I’m Looking Up | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Starling | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Saponi | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fuelinjectedprayer | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Drewzano | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | D’yeti Man | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Perfect Graydar | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Loftin | 15.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – B-connected S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Bending Saint | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Afleet Ascent | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Imindycatbirdseat | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Double Barrel Man | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Star Fitzstall | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Galaxy Builder | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Queeten | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Maga Man | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lucky Inferno | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Drewcitable | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bistraya | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Gracida | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sarah’s Passion | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flat Scat | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ashley Astray | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roman Jewels | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rose Runner | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jennifer’s Arch | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sienna Breeze | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Chasing Happy | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ebrio | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cachito | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pointman | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | El Mozo | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Clever Lad | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Donna’s Court | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cat’s Shining Star | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Halos Prayer | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Seeyainthetestbarn | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Broadway Ice | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Combat Command | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.