January 2, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Blue Steel | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wellfield | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cabo Headache | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Civil | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hitthegroundrunnin | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bluewater Cat | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Distinct Quality | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Arabian Story | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Candizar | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Patriot | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Martial Eagle | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Zenman | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hero of the Hour | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Eat the Ticket | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Tapizart | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Phat and Fast | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mr. Priority | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Farewell Time | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Southern Swagg | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cabo’s Rumor | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | D’tuff Cat Rey | 12.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bet Again | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Four Sevens | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Bayerly Seen | 1.40 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Letsstaypositive | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Tulanian | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Super Jen | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Crafty Angel | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Maga Suite | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Trickle In | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Horse Doctor | 1.40 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flash of Silver | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mischief’s Machine | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Traffic Control | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wicked Statement | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Sacred Oath | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Keen Samurai | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 4 | Uptown Ruler | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 5 | Go for Moonshine | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Take Charge d’Oro | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Spiritual Warfare | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 6 | Sho Poke | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Yeehaw | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Evil Eye | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Senor Friday | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Arpinella | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Peppermint Crunch | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Lemon Blitz | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Surge Pricing | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | V Tach M. D. | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Souper Catch | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Come On Venezuela | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Good Intent | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tensas Talk | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cafe Du Monde | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Power Jet | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Mo U No | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Richie Gary | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Boy Dave Rex | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whatdatpay Ray | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 5 | Palace Coup | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 2 | Noble Order | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Cask | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 3 | Free Spender | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 1 | Mischievous Mo | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Templet | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sunrise Kitten | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Wicked Worry | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Suggested | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Decision Maker | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Enchanted Empire | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | May Hour | 1.40 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Saint William | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | King Bayou | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Halfourretirement | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Grand Omega | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Clever Racer | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Grand Ty | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Closing American | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.