January 3, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tears for Paula | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Supersport Sally | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lil Kylie | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Weavemeawinr | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Christeana’s Kiss | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Can’t Count That | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Meg and Clair | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dr. Frankie Kaye | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rescind | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nature’s Fortune | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kearny County | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Landofthepharaohs | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cade’s On the Bump | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Post Close | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frankincense | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Time to Rome | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Capone’s Loft | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Southern Light | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | King’s Prayer | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | It’suptoyoupal | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | One Tough Charlie | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Western Star | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | First Metal Count | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Silver Galaxy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Decorated | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Souper Dormy | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Carpe Victoriam | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Gray Blur | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Carpe Noctem | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Money Biz | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Love Bound | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kenai Cool | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | No Time to Play | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tommie Trucker | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hero of Gold | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My My My | 20.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Last Tap | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Smoothoutthetrack | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Warriors Speak | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Saved At Dawn | 3.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Blunt Force | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Sooner Girl | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Singita Dreams | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Angel of Verdun | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Blindness | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Little Rosy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Scary Animal | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Bella Belle | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Underpressure | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shang | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mageez | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Trevilion | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jimi’s a Star | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grande Basin | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | V Tach M. D. | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Come On Venezuela | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Souper Catch | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Senor Friday | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pryor | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Omen of Change | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Joemo | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Good Intent | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Tornado Man | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Arpinella | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | King of Candy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Madelyn’s Wild Max | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spring Value | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ruston Vow | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | It’s a Sweet One | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Resilience of Love | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rahfees Man | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Major Ridge | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beauty Boy | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Oneholylion | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.