January 4, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Goodnight Gracie | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Catcake | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Molly Golightly | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Somekindawicked | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Blue Ridge Legacy | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Boston Cadillac | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Lucky Linz | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Nine Line Bind | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bronco Sally | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Breezy Bee | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thai Chili Sue | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Marcia Rose | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Singmebackhome | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Graceful Request | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Marquee Moment | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dancing Waves (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sundereya | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bold Rey | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | C Islandsurprise | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gavins Little Sis | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Blue | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Yes I’m Evil | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 2 | Star of Kodiak | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Lawton | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Omega Moon | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Sir Truebadour | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Overnight Success | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Don’task Don’ttell | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Roman Creed | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Tina’s Exchange | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hyper Piper | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cicada’s Song | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Special Blessing | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Goodprofit | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fugitive Lady | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Swifty Cat | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bella Cajun | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Riv | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lewys Vaporizer | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Niigon’s Glory | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Irritator | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Snapper Bite | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Senor Blair | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | B W P Express | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Berko | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | My Buddy Chuck | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Containment | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Love Conquers | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Much Class | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | My Prophet | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cajun Pinata | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Neon Sky | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sand Pit Road | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chase for the Gold | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Louisiana Moon | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Confederate Yell | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Aurelius Maximus | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chess Chief | 1.20 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I Will Stand | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chase the Ghost | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cornstarch | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Domikate | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jefe | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Esperanza Diamond | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Widdle Giant | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ms Louisa | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kick N Kiss | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gilded Apple | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hip Flask | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Steal the Stars | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sharp Buzz | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Temper Mint | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Jacobs Flyer | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Miss You Jo | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Classic Bowtie | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | B Rasen | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ohmymy Ohmyyes | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | No More for U | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I Run for Three | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.