January 4, 2020 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Kabuki | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Galileo’s Affair | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Owesaycanyousee | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sydney Time | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hallucination | 4.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pretty Cool Cat | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fleur de Force | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Otis Otis Otis | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Star Luck | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sailor Again | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Val’s My Gal | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Palace Candy | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Ray | 3.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mt Suribachi | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Aspen Xtreme | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | The Magical One | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Shanghai Superfly | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Little Siete | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Chuckles | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Synergized | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Town Jak | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Silverzar | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Too Much Johnnie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Elite Mission | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Kid Macho | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Best Start | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Gaucho | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Irish Riviera | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Grande Gato | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ronin Warrior | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Leyenda Azteca | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Something Pento | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Prota | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Brew Dog | 20.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Irish Cork | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Violent Turbulence | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dreams Untold | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brilliant Chase | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Harper | 1.60 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Starling Prince | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Commissioner Dave | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Odds Are | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | A Gray for Carolyn | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Wild Caramelo | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dirt in Your Face | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ruler of the Nile | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | All Star Red | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flashy Kyem | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quality Asset | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Get the W | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Treasury Stock | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Krakov | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mr Classical | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wise Jude | 1.80 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Curlin’s Knight | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crowheart Butte | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jane’s Factor | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Peter G. Fox | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Obviously Dramatic | 3.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Barley Jack | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Peach Alley | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flashndynamite | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bree’s Got Heart | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Play Me a Memory | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Annika Gold | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crazy Daisy | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lil Miss Hotshot | 4.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Single Broad | 10.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Sweet Blame | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pantaloni | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lion and the Wolf | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Free Coffee | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bearing Secrets | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bucks Some | 1.80 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Glowing Star | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Lilly Factum | 15.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bamboo Garden | 15.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Savannah’s Dream | 20.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.