January 5, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3A | 3 | Legend of Bam | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Honorable Avenue | 1.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Carnegie Song | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Concrete Jungle | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cray Cray | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mission Complete | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Oliver Witha Twist | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Odin’s Honor | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Nisha | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Cobra Sophie | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Miss Mi Mi | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cover Photo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Malarkey | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Nowitna River | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Victory Boulevard | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hostile Witness | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grito de Pablito | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tipazo | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | John Want Revenge | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big’s Gray Day | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ihadadream | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Prairie Fire | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Elegant Rose | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cadeau de Paix | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Whyisshesoolucky | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Dirty Bird | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Happycrest | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Trans Mississippi | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Monmouth Dr | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Later Cat | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Soul Fight | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Imperial Brew | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | My Amanjena | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Inclunation | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Bad Sueno | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fotis | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Our American Star | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Adversary | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | New Frontier | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hip Hip Jorge | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Conquistador | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ink Splotz | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Tri Saint Lorenzo | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Justinspeightofit | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Vorticity | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Haikal | 0.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Multiplier | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lone Rock | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Small Bear | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Autonomous | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quality Heat | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stunning Munnings | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lookin Dynamic | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bay Jewel | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Truth Hurts | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Loaded Joe | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | State of Mine | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vineyard Sound | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Splitting Eights | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Afleet Mickey | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mine the Coin | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9A | 7 | Tio Blas | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Justice of War | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8A | 8 | Bridgetothefuture | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.