January 5, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Back Page Star | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brenda’s an I Full | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pi | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unfading Beauty | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Little Snip | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tough Kicks | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sabe Marcelete | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | El Hombre | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cheap Shot | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Quisty Boy | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Looking for Bull | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Guitar King | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Two Date | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I Don’t Fly Coach | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Peace Lane Boy | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Saratoga Vacation | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bee Bit | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Divine | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Russian Mafia | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Folly | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Gayle | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Banshee Birdie | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Al’s Gal | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Play Unified | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Diamond Cutter | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I’ll Take It All | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Saints N Muskets | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Suzie’s Dream | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lady Cleopatra | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spider Dance | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Destiny’s Darling | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Romani | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | N. D. Free | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fashion Island | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ruby Sioux | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tom Management | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Logical Myth | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Pony Up | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Conative | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Coworker | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Singapore Flash | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Merlin’s Song | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blackline | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Oro de Tejano | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Mine My Time | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Runaway Wind | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Laughing Bobby | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | V Man | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Trebulski | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Djinn of Djibouti | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cool Quartet | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ashlee’s Reward | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dontbefoolish | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Ice Sphere | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Alan’s Argument | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Musical Man | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Reluctant Warrior | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Les Paul | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Inca Warrior | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Charlie Hoss | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Our Bermuda | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Eatorbeeaten | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ibeam | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aly’s Charm | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Orange Twister | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Divided | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Madison’s Place | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | One Fast Song | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Galaxy Star | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stang’s Galaxy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Beautifulandwild | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | C’Estbon C’Estbon | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Go My Juliet | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.