January 9, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ekati Wildcat | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Purimeter | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eden Ridge | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Captain Frost | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Immunity | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Seven Lilies | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Petalite | 1.20 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pendolino | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Dancing Slippers | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Magical Romance | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Flattering Eyes | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | La Rubia | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bustin Scones | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moon Heist | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kitty Therapy | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shesasuperfreak | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Can U Handle This | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Minit Maus | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hot Brown | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Freudian Fate | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bulwark | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Boy Mo | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quickflash | 1.40 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Constructor | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Striking Causeway | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | House Limit | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Jerome Avenue | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Traveling | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Super Silver | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Spectator Sport | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Danny California | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Run for Boston | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Speightful Kitten | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Big Engine | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2A | 1 | Dark Money | 1.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8A | 7 | Thesis | 1.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Durkin’s Call | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | H Man | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hushion | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Vicar’s Legend | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Playthatfunnymusic | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grumps Little Tots | 0.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Musical America | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Felix in Fabula | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Proschema | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Majid | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Our Honor | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Flat Rate | 1.40 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | San Juan Diego | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ari’s Naughty Luca | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rockin Jo | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Strategic Outlook | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Latin Love Bug | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fleet Warrior | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Le Gros Bill | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.