January 9, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lookin Back At It | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Guestar | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wasnt Joking | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Honduras Girl | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bobbies Reason | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Interslew | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Half | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bulletsandbourbon | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | J Rob | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rancho Bargo | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lafitte’s Fleet | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Strength | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Soar Like an Eagle | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Suvorov’s Hero | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Conquistador Show | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Strut the Ring | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Victor Lounge (IRE) | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Round Hill | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frost Or Frippery | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Resilient Rick | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 9 | Cadet Captain | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Moonlight Mischief | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Briar Jumper | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Tito Tonight | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Mr. Papillon | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Silent Cry | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 1A | 14 | Overzealous | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2B | 13 | Fleetway | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 1 | Big Bobby Brown | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Stella’s Surprise | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jackie Ems Pal | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Beadsinthetrees | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cohenscollegefund | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Cherry Twist | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Jaded Rose | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kentucky Steal | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Peggys Ouest | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Carson’s Prospect | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Andthebandplayedon | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Razeena | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zurlin | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Champagne Diet | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Daddymademedoit | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | She’s Got Moves | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Worlds Apart | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Winning Walk | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Allonge | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Nuttin But Runnin | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Orange | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Trumpi | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | El Rubio | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sumner | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Over Funded | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Grand Marais | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Bear Trappe | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smithwick | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Menewa | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | Reigning Warrior | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Honor Mission | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Lake Local | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dance Rhythms | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Novo Azul | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | She’s All Skeet | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sensible Myth | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Holiday Time | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Miss Bigly | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Grey Seal | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quick Quick Quick | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Vomba | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | La Femme Royale | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Miss Imperial | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Miz Shelton | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Diamondcoat | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Somewhere | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Beautiful Tale | 10.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Court Surprise | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | War Ballad | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Vacation Lover | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lookin High | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Reach the Moon | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alexander Hamilton | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ekaterinoslav | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Botswana Taps | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zachry | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hurricane Dancer | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ballyhack | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mister Strange | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sovol | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pure Valor | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Balance Due | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alma Derby | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Swinging Galaxy | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | La Beauty | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Galaxy | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Classical Dubai | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mira | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.