January 10, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pray for Lisa | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thinking of Her | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Queen E | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Red River Chase | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Toshita Forever | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mane Priority | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Always Custom Love | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Color Me Pretty | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gymnastic | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Soaring Now | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Forgotten | 10.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Fell From Grace | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | La Flor | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Brookside | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kenzie Blake | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Play On Becky | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Mark of the Z | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zypto | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Most Mischief | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Pull My Chain | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Warriors Gem | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Future Abundance | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Club Soda | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | Homebred | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Atlas Moon | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Confectionist | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Country Berti | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mishko | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mom Said Yes | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Data Load | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Fray | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Cantfightdestiny | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Cyril’s Boy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Cee R Bee | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Red White and Loud | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wildcat Saint | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Homeview | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sparkys Surprise | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pleasant Street | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Rain Drop Kid | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Time On Target | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 1 | Strollin the Bayou | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Tryon Summer | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Miss Mercken | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Little Code | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Glance | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Berning Repent | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Love On Tides | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Miko | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Smokin Hot Momma | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Sterling Miss | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | No Quarter | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Truth Teller | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | In a Bind | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alterana | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Friday’s Best | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Flat Out Cat | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Putthehammerdown | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Barrow Road | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1 | Underpressure | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 3 | Shang | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Mageez | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 4 | Budro Talking | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Remembermis | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Im a Cowboy Too | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Pont Du Gard | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Theoryintopractice | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Impressive Student | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | In the Navy | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Ninety One Assault | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Grande Basin | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Trevilion | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 4 | Spring Value | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Fat Clemenza | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | Bettercalljohn | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | It’s a Sweet One | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Blue Choice | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | It’s Mike’s Turn | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Rahfees Man | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | T’ Cadeau | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Christopher Cat | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Madelyn’s Wild Max | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Outback Jack | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Papa’s Big Boy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Jill’s Smooth Air | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.