January 11, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Kenai Cool | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Strong Patriot | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hero of Gold | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | No Time to Play | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My My My | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Last Tap | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Smoothoutthetrack | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tommie Trucker | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Madelyn’s Wild Max | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Warned | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lass Song | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ruston Vow | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Major Ridge | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Beauty Boy | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Oneholylion | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Outback Jack | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | He’s the Souperwon | 1.80 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Big Time Player | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mister | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Temple of Heaven | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tornado Boy | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ronnie’s Reasoning | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Little Wise Guy | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Papajudgy | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 5 | Saved At Dawn | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Blunt Force | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Singita Dreams | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Angel of Verdun | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Blindness | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Sooner Girl | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bella Belle | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Maggie’s Monarch | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Chesapeake Bay | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Scary Animal | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Spectrolite | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Perfect Pirate | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Whiskey Bravo | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Handful of Stripes | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Reigning Warrior | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Honor Mission | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Flash Attack | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Wildwood Dejavu | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | V Tach M. D. | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Souper Catch | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Senor Friday | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Come On Venezuela | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Pryor | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 7 | Half Trick | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Omen of Change | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Evil Eye | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | King of Candy | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Lemon Blitz | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Surge Pricing | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Arpinella | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Peppermint Crunch | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Big Shanty | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Release the Beast | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Luck of the Draw | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bet Again | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Taken Back | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Harbor Knight | 20.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Papa’s Big Boy | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Two Steppin’ Star | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Italian Charm | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Lusitano | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Son of a Saint | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Run Tappy | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Murry Spur | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Skycraft | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 13 | He’s Cheeky | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Baratti | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Herecomesyourman | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Cape Angel | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Clear for Action | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Turbo Street (AUS) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Valycove | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pickens | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Aw Ite | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 2 | No Parole | 0.60 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Palvera | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Atta Bouy | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Whacudposblygowrng | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Reach the Circle | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Heza Priority | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | One Proud Boy | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Soul Song | 0.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 9 | Bibleman | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 3 | Monte Man | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Inspector Eddie | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Reckless Ransom | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Double Barrel Man | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | My Friend Flavin | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Impressive Student | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Roger Brown | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Future Ruler | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Afleet Ascent | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Eden Grey’s Kitten | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Time to Rome | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Magical Candy | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Southern Light | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Capone’s Loft | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | King’s Prayer | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Gem of Carlos | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | One Tough Charlie | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | First Metal Count | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Western Star | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 10 | It’suptoyoupal | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.