January 12, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Sengekontacket | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Make Or Break | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Elizabeth T | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Common Courtesy | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Rude Awaking | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | All About Reyana | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Venus Oyzo | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Teletype | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Wisconsin Night | 1.20 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Abraxan | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Appreciate | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lookbothways | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon High | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Street Trust | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mohican | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Tour de Force | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Shalako | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Orpheus (ARG) | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Royal Albert Hall (GB) | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Tale of Mist | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Dancing Kiki | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Micromillion | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I’m Fine | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Goosarella | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sure Stitch | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gringotts | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wear My Ring | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kilkea | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Havin’ a Party | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bella Domenica | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Collegeville Girl | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prairie Fire | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Eye’s On You | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | My Last Million | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ella’s Song | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Overtime Olivia | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quietude | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tayler’s the Boss | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Saratoga Style | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Today Comes Once | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Wailin Josie | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | She Takes Charge | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | More Mischief | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Viradia | 1.80 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mary’s Girl | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Elegant Zip | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cathy Naz | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Unbridledadventure | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Might Be | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Rego Park S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Harris Bay | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Scilly Cay | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dream Bigger | 1.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Notorious Flirt | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Convict | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Future Book | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bronze Lion | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | False Alarm | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Wesworld | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mo Lightning | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Catzalionbythetale | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kilmarknock | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Our Papa G | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.