January 17, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Disciplanarian | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Implied Volatility | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Go With Honor | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Golconda | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Prince of New York | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dutchmen Forever | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kid Chocolate | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bank Gala | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Masterprize | 50.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Sadie Lady | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Camorra | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Countable | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Calinas Song | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cape Cod Diva | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dirty Bird | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Overtime Olivia | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Walkoff | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hizaam | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Kumar | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Creative Style | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Variant Perception | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bozzini | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Later Cat | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8A | 8 | Carthon | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Chowda | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Package | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Microscope | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Forever Wicked | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Colormepazzi | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cray Cray | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Helene Jacqueline | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | New York Supreme | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | War Goddess | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Makingcents | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Stonezapper | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Nicky Scissors | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Girl’s Wave | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vienna Code | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Helmers Run | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Crystal Steps | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Our Stormin Norman | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cavaradossi | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dr. Devera’s Way | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beach Front | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Seven Plus Seven | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chuckles | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cause for Applause | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fotis | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Call Paul | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Identity Politics | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Dougie Fresh | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Joevia | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Puttheglassdown | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Proschema | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Seethisquick | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | The Sicarii | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Be Magic | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Stuy Town Baby | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Cyn | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I Am Aine | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shantay You Stay | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Empress Luciana | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Assault and Pepper | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Hope I Can | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lil Morning Star | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shes Euphoric | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.