Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 17, 2020

January 17, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Emma’s Logic 4.50 3.2 6-1
10 10 Tojo 3.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 I’ll Raise You 8.00 4.5 9-1
11 11 Round Quarter 12.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Sholtz 4.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Causeur 20.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 My Perfect Graydar 3.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Ronald Dale 10.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Oliver’s Prayer 12.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Marco’s Tribute 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Noah Knows 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Euroeast 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lizzy’s Star 1.80 1.4 3-1
1 1 Strong Beauty 2.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Distractor Factor 4.50 3.9 7-1
4 4 Sienna Breeze 6.00 4 8-1
7 7 Hey Siri 8.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Jennifer’s Arch 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Our Amen 10.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Slither 2.50 2.7 5-1
8 8 Jimmy One Sock 5.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 It’s a Bird 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Dusty Boy 4.50 4.1 8-1
7 7 Daddy Cool Cat 6.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Wild Firemaker 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Langs Day 12.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Mr. Motivation 12.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Ready Redding 12.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Real Brave 10.00 6.1 12-1
11 11 Gentilly Stage 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Jeb’s Lucky Eight 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Melody Rose 2.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Skip’s Song 3.50 2.9 5-1
5 5 Paddy O 5.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Right On By 4.50 4.4 8-1
7 7 Song and a Saint 8.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Pretty Production 10.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Tamariu 20.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Princess Arwen 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Out Late 15.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 Outoftheballpark 12.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Half a Million 2.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Wandernintheforest 3.50 3 6-1
3 3 Just a Bandit 8.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Untethered Soul 12.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Ourgoldshalaylee 10.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 D D’s Delight 10.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Key Red 20.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 D’freak Nasty 12.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Tiz the Time 4.00 7 13-1
4 4 Emma’s Gift 20.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Cavallotto 2.00 3 6-1
4 4 Sea Treaty 8.00 3 6-1
1 1 Bwana Go 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Handsome Harve 10.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Magnanimus Man 10.00 4.4 8-1
11 11 Cameron Rules 12.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Delaware Basin 12.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Fancy This 15.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Hardly Seen Slim 15.00 8.1 15-1
10 10 Whathadhappenwuz 20.00 8.5 16-1
7 7 Union Rebel 3.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Foolish Prince 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Lovely Charlie 2.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Arctic Peace 4.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 High Class Euro 6.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Cats Beauty 5.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Honest Tina 15.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 De Last Dance 20.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 C C’s Baby Girl 6.00 6 11-1
6 6 Lady Belacqua 10.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Muskarella 8.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Blazin’ Asian 4.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Cheeseburger 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Majestic John’s 3.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Standing Man 2.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Free Indeed 6.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Taking Notes 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Flash Dancerluck 10.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 D W Strong 15.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Royal Sass 5.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Heather Divine 3.50 2.8 5-1
9 9 My Little Charlie 1.80 3.3 6-1
2 2 Peach’s Swan Song 6.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Remembrance Rose 20.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Olivia’s Duchess 20.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Lady King 12.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Madelyn’s Time 15.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Mary’s Wish 20.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Stone Classic 8.00 7 13-1
11 11 Little T 2.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Smooth Rapids 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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