January 17, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Emma’s Logic | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tojo | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I’ll Raise You | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Round Quarter | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sholtz | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Causeur | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Perfect Graydar | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ronald Dale | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Oliver’s Prayer | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Marco’s Tribute | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Noah Knows | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Euroeast | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lizzy’s Star | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Strong Beauty | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Distractor Factor | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sienna Breeze | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hey Siri | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jennifer’s Arch | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Our Amen | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Slither | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jimmy One Sock | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | It’s a Bird | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Dusty Boy | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Daddy Cool Cat | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wild Firemaker | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Langs Day | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Motivation | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ready Redding | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Real Brave | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Gentilly Stage | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Jeb’s Lucky Eight | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Melody Rose | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Skip’s Song | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Paddy O | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Right On By | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Song and a Saint | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pretty Production | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tamariu | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Princess Arwen | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Out Late | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Outoftheballpark | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Half a Million | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wandernintheforest | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Just a Bandit | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Untethered Soul | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ourgoldshalaylee | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | D D’s Delight | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Key Red | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | D’freak Nasty | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tiz the Time | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Emma’s Gift | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Cavallotto | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sea Treaty | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bwana Go | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Handsome Harve | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Magnanimus Man | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cameron Rules | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Delaware Basin | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fancy This | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hardly Seen Slim | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Whathadhappenwuz | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Union Rebel | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Foolish Prince | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lovely Charlie | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Arctic Peace | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | High Class Euro | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cats Beauty | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Honest Tina | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | De Last Dance | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | C C’s Baby Girl | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Belacqua | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Muskarella | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Blazin’ Asian | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cheeseburger | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Majestic John’s | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Standing Man | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Free Indeed | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Taking Notes | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Flash Dancerluck | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | D W Strong | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Royal Sass | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heather Divine | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My Little Charlie | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Peach’s Swan Song | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Remembrance Rose | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Olivia’s Duchess | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lady King | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Madelyn’s Time | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mary’s Wish | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stone Classic | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Little T | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Smooth Rapids | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.