Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 17, 2020

January 17, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Forty Nine Model 3.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Foursweetnieces 3.50 3 6-1
6 6 Chanson La Belle 2.50 3 6-1
4 4 Langfuhr’s Angel 3.50 3.4 7-1
3 3 Zydeco Music 6.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Stang’s Galaxy 12.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Ezee Enough 12.00 6.1 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 9 Limage 3.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Tupelo Hon E 2.50 2.6 5-1
6 7 Strict Vow 6.00 4.7 9-1
3 2 Blazing Hero 8.00 5 9-1
5 5 Trust in Love 4.50 5.1 10-1
2 1 Lemon Drop Twist 8.00 6 11-1
1A 6 Passport Required 15.00 6.3 12-1
1 3 Dabblin Channel 15.00 6.4 12-1
7 8 Gottabegolden 8.00 7.3 14-1
9 10 Cry Like a Baby 20.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 La Negra Noche 6.00 2.6 5-1
6 5 Mi Chachis Intenta 6.00 3.4 6-1
7 6 Lizzario 4.00 3.5 7-1
5 4 Luna Go Luna 5.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Belmar Beauty 4.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Ike Likes 10.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Silver Platinum 3.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Flirtatious Kitty 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mr Leo 5.00 2.8 5-1
8 7 Hero of the Hour 4.00 3.2 6-1
11 10 Breakers Point 12.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Candizar 3.50 4.1 8-1
10 9 Heart of a Dreamer 8.00 4.4 8-1
5 4 Ballyhack 10.00 6.4 12-1
7 6 Irish Hokie 12.00 6.8 13-1
6 5 Kalo 20.00 6.9 13-1
12 11 Meaningful 20.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Tapizart 20.00 7.8 15-1
9 8 Zenman 20.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Whata Perfect Day 4.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Kaliningrad 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Arabian Story 6.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Eat the Ticket 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Mira 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Silver Squall 3.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Diamond Crazy 2.50 2.7 5-1
4 3 Rockin Sunday 3.50 3.1 6-1
6 5 Rebeccas Truth 6.00 3.6 7-1
7 6 Whodatwhodat 12.00 4.8 9-1
8 7 Onetwomanyrockets 6.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Linda’s Legacy 15.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Shanghai Star 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Amandrea 3.50 2.3 4-1
12 10 Out of Trouble 3.50 2.9 5-1
6 5 Amazima 6.00 3.9 7-1
4 3 Golden Orb 8.00 4 8-1
7 6 French Empire 8.00 4.2 8-1
9 7 Puca Penny 8.00 5.6 11-1
11 9 Darling Vera 15.00 6.4 12-1
3 2 Appealing Audrey 12.00 6.5 12-1
10 8 Moyne Spun 20.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Landon 15.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Underestimate 4.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Silver Shaker 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Piece of My Heart 3.50 2.2 4-1
8 6 Kizzy B 4.50 2.8 5-1
5 4 Alta’s Award 3.00 3.4 6-1
2 1 Artistic Jewler 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 5 Take Charge Cece 12.00 4.8 9-1
4 3 Johnnie Merle (IRE) 12.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Fashion Rules 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Street Missy 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 10 Skygaze 4.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Ginseng 3.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Lady Jenneviere 6.00 4 8-1
8 8 Wexx 5.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Into Humor 12.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Duplicitous 15.00 5 9-1
6 6 Trickle In 6.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Sentimentaljourney 20.00 7 13-1
5 5 Tiz Susan Ann 20.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Summer Express 20.00 8 15-1
1A 15 Halama 15.00 SCRATCH
2B 16 She Can’t Sing 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Queenofcatniphill 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Swanage 5.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Sebs Princess 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 O Seraphina 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Dutchman 1.80 2.6 5-1
5 5 Captain Tyree 2.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Hansen’s Holiday 10.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Ide B a Classic 8.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Shaniko’s Secret 6.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 From Now On 8.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 El Tristan 12.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Rollwithit 12.00 6.6 12-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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