January 17, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Forty Nine Model | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Foursweetnieces | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chanson La Belle | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Langfuhr’s Angel | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zydeco Music | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stang’s Galaxy | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ezee Enough | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 9 | Limage | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tupelo Hon E | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Strict Vow | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Blazing Hero | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trust in Love | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Lemon Drop Twist | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1A | 6 | Passport Required | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 3 | Dabblin Channel | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Gottabegolden | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Cry Like a Baby | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | La Negra Noche | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mi Chachis Intenta | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lizzario | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Luna Go Luna | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Belmar Beauty | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ike Likes | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Silver Platinum | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Flirtatious Kitty | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mr Leo | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Hero of the Hour | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Breakers Point | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Candizar | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Heart of a Dreamer | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ballyhack | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Irish Hokie | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kalo | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Meaningful | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tapizart | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Zenman | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Whata Perfect Day | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Kaliningrad | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Arabian Story | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Eat the Ticket | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Mira | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Silver Squall | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Diamond Crazy | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Rockin Sunday | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rebeccas Truth | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Whodatwhodat | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Onetwomanyrockets | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Linda’s Legacy | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shanghai Star | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Amandrea | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Out of Trouble | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Amazima | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Golden Orb | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | French Empire | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Puca Penny | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Darling Vera | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Appealing Audrey | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Moyne Spun | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Landon | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Underestimate | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Silver Shaker | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Piece of My Heart | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Kizzy B | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Alta’s Award | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Artistic Jewler | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Take Charge Cece | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Johnnie Merle (IRE) | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fashion Rules | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Street Missy | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Skygaze | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ginseng | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Jenneviere | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wexx | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Into Humor | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Duplicitous | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Trickle In | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sentimentaljourney | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tiz Susan Ann | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Summer Express | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1A | 15 | Halama | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2B | 16 | She Can’t Sing | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Queenofcatniphill | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Swanage | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Sebs Princess | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | O Seraphina | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dutchman | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Captain Tyree | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hansen’s Holiday | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ide B a Classic | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shaniko’s Secret | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | From Now On | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | El Tristan | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rollwithit | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.