Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 17, 2020

January 17, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Gone Home 2.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 Kevins Chioce 8.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Nonna’s Glory 6.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Bear Force Won 8.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Fugiwhara 12.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 He’s Not Tapit 2.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Little Bit Country 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Supercross 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Rapidashqueen 10.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Deirdre of Legend 1.80 2 4-1
1 1 Tiz Included 3.50 3.5 7-1
7 7 Talia Ladybug 15.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Meet Michelle 8.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Awesome Pal 15.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Smoking Baby 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Johnny Cab 2.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Quad Eights 12.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Derek’s Boy 8.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Twixy Cat 3.50 4.2 8-1
1 1 Tastes Like Plaid 1.80 4.5 8-1
3 3 Bodeflex 5.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Slewzer 3.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 Flirtation Walk 3.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Splendor Gal 2.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Greasedlightning 20.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Savannah Roxanna 12.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Barbsgray Lion 2.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Majestic Pic 12.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Carousel Marge 3.50 3 6-1
3 3 My Lila 3.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Grand Entrada 4.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Congress Hall 3.50 4.4 8-1
5 5 Cold Hearted Gal 4.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Smart Entry 10.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Clockwise 20.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Toy 4.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Justwaveandsmile 1.80 3 6-1
9 9 Charm City Band 10.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Deshackled 12.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Plot the Dots 6.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Maximus Midani 8.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Lynard 20.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Lord Tiz 12.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Golazo 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Robber Bob 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Beautiful Maiden 1.80 2.7 5-1
3 3 Two Hot Betty 5.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Bustin to Please 3.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Hidenseek Sally 3.50 4.2 8-1
2 2 Snippety 15.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Foggy Dreams 5.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Winplaceorshowono 4.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Stroll Smokin 8.00 3 6-1
9 9 Storming My Way 5.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Fix Me a Sandwich 3.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Sir Orinoco 3.50 4.2 8-1
6 6 Divine Interventio 10.00 6 11-1
2 2 Day the Music Died 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Too Much Data 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Throw the Fade 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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