January 18, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rose Larue | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Finding Value | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | My Pledger | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chatain’s Flyer | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Unbridled Harlan | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Final Design | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rivetrix | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Space Cowgirl | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | One Special One | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Warriors Speak | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Emily’s Pegasus | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gentrified | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Trevilion | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Adonis Creed | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Budro Talking | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Oashaar | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Extirpator | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tapitor | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lodi Mist | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Saber Cut | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rose Crown | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Quick Heat | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dancing Arches | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Awishforgreeley | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kathleen’s Day | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aztec Song | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jerry’s Legacy | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Noon’s Babygirl | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Guilty Confession | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Correct Answer | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Runarounddancing | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Spirit of Caledon | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rose Needs a Check | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dry Wood Creek | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chaosmos | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Overnight Stay | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ride a Saint | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Bandini’s Band | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | A We Bit Flirty | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Summer Appeal | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Hewhofillsmyheart | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Ship Stalker | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jeweled Crown | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Little Lady | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Little Spitfire | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | American Mom | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sneaky Freak | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Halo’s Song | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aunt Jana | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Valenteen | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Union Rebel | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | King of the Testo | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Maddy’s Pro | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bye Bye Shanghai | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Binding | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Toga | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | No One Greater | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dad Said No | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Simba’s Pride | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Debriyn | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Raise Em Up | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Due Apeal | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Karate Hottie | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Four Princesses | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Indian Gem | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady C | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Reachreachreach | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Katiebmeister | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miami Rose | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whisper Softly | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Freedomfi | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Soul Song | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Toni’s Star | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bayou Jam | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Louisiana Hero | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Too Much Bourbon | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Buy In | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Fast Verdict | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Speaktomeoflove | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Any Ole Thing | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Selene’s Argument | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 10 | Charlotte’s Wish | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Paleeze | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Weavemeawinr | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hopeitsamiracle | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Casual Cool | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Realmente Calmada | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dr. Frankie Kaye | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1A | 12 | Kaydees in Town | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Deep End | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Red Princess | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.