January 23, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Little Mazzy | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Super Wicked Charm | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lightning Rob | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Now and Again | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Timing | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bay Burner | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ihadadream | 4.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Eight Oaks | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Its a Chance | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sister Alexa | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kinky Sox | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Marriage | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | First Dawn | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Barbara P | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Causin’ Trouble | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Stay Smart | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Peggy Sue | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Color Chart | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Floss Dancer | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Party in the Sand | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dovey Lovey | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ok Honey | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Kansas Kis | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tale of Perfect La | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Henni Penny | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | French Cafe | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Toastnjam | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mama Kin | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | First Deputy | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Power Up Paynter | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mission Wrapitup | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Him She Kisses | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hold My Call | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ariesberg | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Love and Love | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Britesideoftheroad | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Overheated | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Excess Capacity | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Girl of Tosconova | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lem Me Have It | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Questeq | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dancingwthdaffodls | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Happycrest | 50.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Gilda Marie | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Great Johanna | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Summer Fantasy | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Diamond N Simon | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | My Last Million | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | A Bridge too Far | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fight On Lucy | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Freddymo Factor | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Carlisle Belle | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Honey Graeme | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Linda’s Ballet | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cobra Sophie | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sky Vision | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gobi | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cotton Candy Cutie | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Saratoga Style | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Judgement Free | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Mikayah | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.