January 23, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Shackleford Road | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
3 | 2 | Jail House | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
6 | 6 | Cabo Headache | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
1A | 1 | Civil | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
2B | 4 | Wellfield | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
5 | 5 | Bluewater Cat | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
4 | 3 | Distinct Quality | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
1 | 1 | Gato Del Banco | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
2 | 3 | V Man | 3.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Turner Time | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
1 | 1 | Wildwood Dejavu | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
7 | 7 | Allidoisdreamofyou | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
8 | 8 | Flash Attack | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
6 | 6 | Warrior’s Kid | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
3 | 3 | Containment | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
4 | 4 | Senor Blair | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
5 | 5 | Homeview | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | 5 | Believeinholidays | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
7 | 3 | Zypto | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
2 | 1 | Peppermint Crunch | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
11 | 4 | Go for Moonshine | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
13 | 6 | Curlin Grey | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
3 | 2 | Uptown Ruler | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
1 | 1 | Surge Pricing | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
4 | 4 | Evil Eye | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
5 | 5 | Good Intent | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 6 | Arpinella | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 8 | King of Candy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
9 | 9 | Weekly Call | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
10 | 10 | Croque Monsieur (GB) | 5.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Orb’s Soul | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
4 | 4 | Get Directions | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Lovely Lady | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
7 | 7 | Momento | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Silent Trick | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
1 | 1 | Threewickedwishes | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
5 | 5 | Hailey’s Day | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | 7 | Speed On Tap | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
7 | 3 | Sweet Bay | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
1 | 1 | Summers Hope | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
3 | 2 | Reserve List | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
10 | 5 | Lea’s Princess | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
9 | 4 | Dulcimer Dame | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
11 | 6 | Aptiseno Line | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
2 | 2 | Eleanor Roosevelt | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
4 | 4 | Rain Dance | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
5 | 5 | Global Brand | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 6 | Queen of the Lane | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 8 | Tale of Mona | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 12 | Jim’s Bronze Star | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
13 | 13 | Tactful Susan | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
14 | 14 | Sky Factor | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
15 | 15 | Stalemate | 12.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 2 | Whiskey Echo | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
4 | 3 | Around the Dial | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
8 | 7 | He’s No Bull | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
1 | 1 | Radiant Castle | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
6 | 5 | Runningwscissors | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
7 | 6 | Club Soda | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
5 | 4 | Undercover Lover | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
2 | 2 | Jazz It Up | 12.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | 11 | Baudette Blizzard | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
2 | 2 | Harper’s Deelite | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
1 | 1 | Extra Mile | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
6 | 6 | City Park | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
4 | 4 | Half Pipe | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
10 | 9 | Andiamo Giacomo | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
3 | 3 | Guitar Slim | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
5 | 5 | Loveu and Proudofu | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
8 | 8 | Good Old Charlie | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
7 | 7 | C F Johnathan | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
11 | 10 | Jaci’s Royalty | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
9 | 9 | Secret Redemption | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
13 | 13 | Bing Bing | 30.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 2 | Forerun | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
5 | 4 | Imindycatbirdseat | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
4 | 3 | Asongforyou | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
1 | 1 | Queeten | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
8 | 7 | Yankee Seven | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
6 | 5 | Jake the Band Man | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
9 | 8 | Saltee Stark | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
7 | 6 | Greeley Went West | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
2 | 2 | Mr Makeithappen | 12.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 4 | Dance to My Song | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
7 | 3 | Mark of the Z | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
4 | 2 | Horse Doctor | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
2 | 1 | Just Might | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
9 | 5 | Ace Destroyer | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
1 | 1 | Catalogue | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
3 | 3 | Channel Won | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
5 | 5 | Latent Revenge | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 6 | Handful of Stripes | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
10 | 10 | Snoose Goose | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 11 | Grove Daddy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 12 | Prince Pierce | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
13 | 13 | Bertie’s Galaxy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
14 | 14 | Locally Owned | 6.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Double Priority | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
6 | 6 | Beforehand | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
2 | 2 | It’suptoyoupal | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
4 | 4 | First Metal Count | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
1 | 1 | Arties Game | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
3 | 3 | Adieu Galaxy | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
5 | 5 | One Tough Charlie | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
8 | 8 | Boston Lover | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.