Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, January 23, 2020

January 23, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Shackleford Road 2.50 2.3 4-1
3 2 Jail House 6.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Cabo Headache 4.50 3.6 7-1
1A 1 Civil 4.50 4 7-1
2B 4 Wellfield 3.50 4.2 8-1
5 5 Bluewater Cat 12.00 4.9 9-1
4 3 Distinct Quality 6.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Gato Del Banco 4.50 SCRATCH
2 3 V Man 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Turner Time 3.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Wildwood Dejavu 4.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Allidoisdreamofyou 4.50 4.3 8-1
8 8 Flash Attack 4.50 4.7 9-1
6 6 Warrior’s Kid 12.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Containment 5.00 5 9-1
4 4 Senor Blair 6.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Homeview 12.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 5 Believeinholidays 3.00 1.9 4-1
7 3 Zypto 15.00 3 6-1
2 1 Peppermint Crunch 5.00 3.3 6-1
11 4 Go for Moonshine 12.00 3.9 7-1
13 6 Curlin Grey 4.50 3.9 7-1
3 2 Uptown Ruler 20.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Surge Pricing 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Evil Eye 4.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Good Intent 30.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Arpinella 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 King of Candy 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Weekly Call 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Croque Monsieur (GB) 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Orb’s Soul 3.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Get Directions 4.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Lovely Lady 3.50 3.4 6-1
7 7 Momento 4.50 3.5 7-1
2 2 Silent Trick 6.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Threewickedwishes 6.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Hailey’s Day 8.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
16 7 Speed On Tap 6.00 2.3 4-1
7 3 Sweet Bay 4.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Summers Hope 5.00 2.8 5-1
3 2 Reserve List 6.00 3.9 7-1
10 5 Lea’s Princess 8.00 4.3 8-1
9 4 Dulcimer Dame 12.00 4.7 9-1
11 6 Aptiseno Line 12.00 5 9-1
2 2 Eleanor Roosevelt 5.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Rain Dance 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Global Brand 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Queen of the Lane 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Tale of Mona 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Jim’s Bronze Star 4.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Tactful Susan 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Sky Factor 10.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Stalemate 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Whiskey Echo 2.50 2.5 5-1
4 3 Around the Dial 4.00 3.2 6-1
8 7 He’s No Bull 3.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Radiant Castle 8.00 3.9 7-1
6 5 Runningwscissors 6.00 3.9 7-1
7 6 Club Soda 6.00 4.8 9-1
5 4 Undercover Lover 10.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Jazz It Up 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 11 Baudette Blizzard 3.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Harper’s Deelite 8.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Extra Mile 2.50 3.4 6-1
6 6 City Park 4.50 4.3 8-1
4 4 Half Pipe 10.00 5.6 11-1
10 9 Andiamo Giacomo 12.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Guitar Slim 12.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Loveu and Proudofu 20.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Good Old Charlie 12.00 7 13-1
7 7 C F Johnathan 20.00 9.1 17-1
11 10 Jaci’s Royalty 30.00 9.4 18-1
9 9 Secret Redemption 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Bing Bing 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Forerun 3.00 3 6-1
5 4 Imindycatbirdseat 4.00 3.4 6-1
4 3 Asongforyou 5.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Queeten 5.00 4.4 8-1
8 7 Yankee Seven 6.00 4.7 9-1
6 5 Jake the Band Man 20.00 5.1 10-1
9 8 Saltee Stark 6.00 5.1 10-1
7 6 Greeley Went West 12.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Mr Makeithappen 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 4 Dance to My Song 8.00 1.8 3-1
7 3 Mark of the Z 8.00 2.9 5-1
4 2 Horse Doctor 3.50 3 6-1
2 1 Just Might 4.50 3.2 6-1
9 5 Ace Destroyer 10.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Catalogue 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Channel Won 4.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Latent Revenge 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Handful of Stripes 30.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Snoose Goose 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Grove Daddy 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Prince Pierce 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Bertie’s Galaxy 4.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Locally Owned 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Double Priority 3.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Beforehand 4.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 It’suptoyoupal 6.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 First Metal Count 5.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Arties Game 6.00 4 8-1
3 3 Adieu Galaxy 6.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 One Tough Charlie 6.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Boston Lover 10.00 5.2 10-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.