January 24, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Purchasing Power | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Woodbury | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Horoscope | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vintage Hollywood | 0.40 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Booby Trap | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sounds Good | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Le Gros Bill | 50.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hawaiian Noises | 0.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | No Distortion | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Holiday Bonus | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Sicarii | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Swiping Dan | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | American Rule | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Spectre Bond | 0.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zonic | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bronx Bomber | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Take It to Scale | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Our Honor | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Alongcametheprince | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Latin Love Bug | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | El Hermano | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hersh | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Singapore Trader | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I Love Jaxson | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Frank’sgunisloaded | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crea’s Bklyn Law | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Wild Banker | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Justintimeforwine | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Box of Rain | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Pave It | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Aintitfunkynow | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brunate | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Unbridled John | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beg to Differ | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stash My Money | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | True Palace | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Beach Pass | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Farragut | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Officer Hutchy | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Glass Ceiling | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wonder City | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Wedontbelieveher | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Stunning Munnings | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Magnetique | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | All Over the Map | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Evade | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Bella Invasion | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Twisted Tom | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blugrascat’s Smile | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Shamrock Kid | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Carthon | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fleet Irish | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Mountain | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Irish Valor | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8A | 7 | Science Fiction | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Palomita | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Forgotten Hero | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sea Sparkle | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gypsy Janie | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Aunt Babe | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Can U Handle This | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Weabie | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9A | 9 | My Roxy Girl | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Queen Kahen | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.