January 24, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Star Performer | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kool Aid Girl | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | D’or Fille | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Compromising | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Just Cruising | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Word of the Day | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 6 | Chikara | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 4 | Whimsical Muse | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | La Vida | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Cirrusly | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Indomitable Spirit | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 3 | Surprise Arrival | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Korat Queen | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 2 | Seven Jewels | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Sarahcain | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Soco Unbridled | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Actress On Board | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Strong Patriot | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Kenai Cool | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Close to Me | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Our Lucky Star | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | My My My | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Saved At Dawn | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Blessed Anna | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gifted Talent | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Balook | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Star Prado | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Smart Pegasus | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spider Legs | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Baby Bele | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Star’s Dream | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grand Isle Girl | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Great in Red | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zola | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Money for Mama | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Streettalkinhottie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Twist Off | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Laughing Bobby | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Trebulski | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | V Man | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cool Quartet | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Flashyboy Bobb | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ashlee’s Reward | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Vacation Lover | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Arabian Story | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Midnight Patriot | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Tap King | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Benelux | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dack Janiel’s | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Archrival | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Eat the Ticket | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Distored Half | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Statement | 10.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tornado Boy | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mira | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Newly Acquired | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | World Tax War (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Natural History | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Madelyn’s Wild Max | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ruston Vow | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | King Bandit | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sean | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Myblendofwhisky | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Christopher Cat | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rahfees Man | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Oneholylion | 4.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Kingdom Way | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dude Greeley | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jill’s Smooth Air | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Jim’s Bronze Star | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Heart Sings | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chick Be Quick | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lillie Dell | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sky Factor | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Stalemate | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sail On Ellen | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tactful Susan | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Drapes | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Miss You Jo | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Confederate Yell | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Looking for Bull | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jacobs Flyer | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mikey’s Mouse | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Classic Bowtie | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ohmymy Ohmyyes | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Band Boss | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jennovodka | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.