January 26, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | My Ty Fu Peg | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jax Man | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Secret Redemption | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Silver Galaxy | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Putthehammerdown | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Barrow Road | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Truth Teller | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Reluctant Warrior | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Eatorbeeaten | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ibeam | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Les Paul | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Creole Candy | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Our Bermuda | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bing Bing | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Inca Warrior | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Charlie Hoss | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Amavi | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cheap Shot | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Silent Cry | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Guitar King | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tune My Guitar | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | El Hombre | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quisty Boy | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Striking Star | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I Don’t Fly Coach | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Front Money Morgan | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | My Pepper Ann | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Air Guitar Star | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Lookout Mountain | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gio Angel | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Elle Corredora | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Born to D’ Wild | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Forgotten | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Gabby’s Half | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Mi Copa Rebosa | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Spartanburg | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Swifty Cat | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Unrestricted | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Calimambo | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Mo U No | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Three Run Homer | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Boy Dave Rex | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Whatdatpay Ray | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Costa Alot | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sense of Self | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Foxglove | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Goingtoagogo | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heart River | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Suggestive | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Miss Commish | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Diamond and Silks | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Melissani | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Caribbean Kitten | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bertie’s Galaxy | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Locally Owned | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rock Doc | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Irritator | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Metropol | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grove Daddy | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 3 | Specially | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Cindy’s Prayer | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Lucky Quarters | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Little Red Frog | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Call On Mischief | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Tulanian | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Josie | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Western Taffy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Shesarockstartoo | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Maw Maw’s Sophia | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Go My Juliet | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | G’s Deadline | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Madison’s Place | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | C’Estbon C’Estbon | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Galaxy Star | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Premie Baby | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.