January 30, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Plebe | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Try’n Smart’n Up | 1.20 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Da Berg | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | El Sangru | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ridolfo | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Freudian Analyst | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Starting Point | 1.40 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wild Weekend | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quiet Out East | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Legion Storm | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kadens Courage | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiz Morning | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Titan’s Will | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Political | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Fidget | 1.20 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Aleph | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Oneshotatforever | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eye’m Gone | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tuxedo Sunday | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Overbold | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Inclunation | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | True Blue Giant | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Amanjena | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Informed Consent | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Bridgetothefuture | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fotis | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ghost Fighter | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Fevola | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Its a Wrap | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cousin Andrew | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr Phil | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sixto | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Malibu Mischief | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Radiantrithym | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | No Deal | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Mi Mi | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Friend of Liberty | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Annie Rocks | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Orchid Party | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Madame Barbarian | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Peggy Sue | 1.60 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Winifred J | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Elegant Rose | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Questeq | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shesasuperfreak | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Whyisshesoolucky | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Catzalionbythetale | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I Prowl Alone | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Imperio D | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Go Rudy Go | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Cause | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Kaz Now | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Inspector Henning | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.