January 31, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sydster | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Social Afleet | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Louisiana Hero | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Too Much Bourbon | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Atta Bouy | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Heza Priority | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 5 | Alittlevodka | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Niigon’s Glory | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Sonoma Crush | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Prince Pierce | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Handful of Stripes | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Riv | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mustang Cat | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Wildcat Saint | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Welovecandy | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Flatter the Queen | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Carson Kan | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Woman With a Book | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Warrior’s Kid | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Senor Blair | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Making a Marc | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fafa | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shogood | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Miss Brookside | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Soaring Now | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Little Snip | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 3 | Thai Chili Sue | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Color Me Pretty | 5.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Breezy Bee | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Play On Becky | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Back Page Star | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Gymnastic | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Citibike | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sweet Carli | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Hero of Gold | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Cry Like a Baby | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Color Fashioned | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bella Falaya | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Insane Maclean | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Breakfast Pond | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Kraft’s Rate | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Singmebackhome | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Banshee Birdie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Miss Bigly | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Ragatagtag | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bee Bit | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Russian Mafia | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | She’s Divine | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Weightlessness | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Altered Dream | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No Time to Play | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | J D’s Girl | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Alittlebitextra | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Carry the One | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Daaherachel | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 6 | Autumn Warrior | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reckless Ransom | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | A Song for Arch | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Inspector Eddie | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Future Ruler | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Roger Brown | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 4 | Monte Man | 2.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Flashy Brew | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Classy John | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Eden Grey’s Kitten | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Adrenaline | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 5 | Grand Luwegee | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Sheza Mean Broad | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vegas Memory | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Pray for Lisa | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Our Sweet Daisy | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Joey G | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Swimhard Dreambig | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Queen E | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mane Priority | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | The Last Gig | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Red River Chase | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.