February 27, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Buxterhooter | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Why God | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ebrio | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Napoleon’s Empire | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cowboys Dream | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Troy Ounce | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Chaosmos | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | King of the Testo | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Doorag Jimmy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Legendary Larry | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Warned | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dixie Beat | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Reflected Star | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Candy for Three | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Who Datawaki | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Carson City Cat | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Eights Wild | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | He’s a Lady Tamer | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Joe Jackson | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | The Ginja Ninja | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Lass Song | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Louisiana Special | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cajun Shots | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Decadent Diamond | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Shesarockstartoo | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stop the Friend | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | R T’s Duchess | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Amandaschime | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sugar Pie Street | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Whiskey to Wine | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Priority | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Byanymeans | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pretty Production | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Spanish Arch | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jokers Queen | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Skeeter | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Best Guess | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Red Fern Doll | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Song and a Saint | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | La Reina Isabel | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Miss Katniss | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tap City Baby | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Realmente Calmada | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pleasant Moon | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | McLean | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Holy Spirit | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Three Rooster | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Little Man E Dubai | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Display | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Tale of the Bull | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dale’s Lil Bro | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 12 | Diplomatic Shaft | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Pinch Assault | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Bomber | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mr. Graceful | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bye Bye Shanghai | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Zipzaptime | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Inferno | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Half Ours to Keep | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Buddy Chuck | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cookies Are Good | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mangelsen | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dark Arden | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Langfuhr’s Angel | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lauralee Cocodree | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bear Tooth Pass | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Destiny Twilight | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Pal Charlene | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bad Gal Riri | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Crider Chase | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mighty Pegasus | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | A Flash of Copper | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Navy Times | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Scotty Boy | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | King Cookie | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cafe Du Monde | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wayfaring Stranger | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pickett | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Derby Dog | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Caprock | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rosslare Harbour | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Luvmewhenimgone | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Buy In | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Common Law Cat | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fly Guy Rak | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Skip Chaser | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Riskey Trickey | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Oklahoma Storm | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.