March 1, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Madeforlife | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Secret Princess | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Whodatwhodat | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Love Bound | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Swimhard Dreambig | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mayreese | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kohensrising | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fiona Power | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | La Vida | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Priceless Nellie | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Seven Jewels | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Diamond and Silks | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Goingtoagogo | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Soco Unbridled | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Surprise Arrival | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 9 | Actress On Board | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Star Prado | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Harbor Sunset | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Special Connection | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | G’s Mine | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Casual Pleasure | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pops Shanghai | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aubee Grand | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Savvy Shipman | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Alexandra | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crimson Feline | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Forgotten | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | B’s Ten | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Pepper Ann | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Marywood | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brahms Baby | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Scootin Bayou | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Guitar Slim | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Reinsure | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Drilling Report | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thunk | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Barrow Road | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tucker the Grouch | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Putthehammerdown | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Secret Redemption | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Here Comes Kyle | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Latent Revenge | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hello Bubbles | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | On the Muscle | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Snoose Goose | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Channel Won | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Battlebus | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Prince Pierce | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Horse Doctor | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Like Mike | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Harper’s Deelite | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Gentilly Stage | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Double Cool | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Senator Con | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fleet Run | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tiz Neyney and Rad | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tiger Road | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Fix D Fence | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Arties Game | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Boston Bind | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Markitoff | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Keep Quiet (FR) | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Don’task Don’ttell | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Landofthepharaohs | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Duncastle | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Irish Heatwave | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Two Emmys | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Luna de Loco | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vivid Verse | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ezmosh | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | One Mean Man | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | So Alive | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Quisty Boy | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | King Bayou | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Flashyboy Bobb | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kiss Your Bride | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Halfourretirement | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Round Quarter | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sidney’s Hunch | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Rhett n’ Scarlett | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Caeus in Pasadena | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grand Ty | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.