March 22, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Always Grace | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Oxbowindy | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1A | 6 | Twins Plus a Dot | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Peggie in the Wild | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Reborn | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Malartach | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Lady Brooklyn | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Heart Dominus | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | So Alive | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | War Film | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hero of the Hour | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Believeinholidays | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Knight’s Cross | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | More Ice | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jailhouse Kitten | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dream Halo | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cade’s On the Bump | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Outlaw X. | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Richie Gary | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bold Zarb | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tensas Toddy | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jacobs Flyer | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | In Charge Halo | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Guitar King | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Costa Alot | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Smart Call | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Deanos Cape | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lafitte’s Fleet | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Semi Charmed Day | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crescent City Star | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Drax | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Katama Bay | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Criminal Defense | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Papa Tango | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fireman Sid | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Traelee | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | X Clown | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Richard Ronald | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Outofmybind | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smiling Song | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Whacudposblygowrng | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alan’s Argument | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Scotty Boy | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Aw Ite | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | A. K. Safari | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Alfons Walde (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alexander Hamilton | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coffee Time | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bandit Swanson | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ballyhack | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | F F Rocket | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Better Tapit | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Izzy in a Tizzy | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tornado Boy | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Roux Ga Roux | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | No Quarter | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 14 | 14 | One More Jump | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Baudette Blizzard | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Commander Scott | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Reinsure | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Britts a Closer | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grand Priority | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Unwanted Intruder | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Come On Archie | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zelig | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Thunk | 20.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Daddy Cool Cat | 20.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Barrow Road | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shackle the Gold | 20.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Saber Run | 30.00 | 14.5 | 27-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Second Line David | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nod to Persia | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mom Said Yes | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Total Destruction | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crealock | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mischievous Mo | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Super Mamba | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Calculate | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Stop Making Sense | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Battle of Ramadi | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Degas Away | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bond’s Martini | 20.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Harbor Sunset | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 4 | G’s Mine | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Miss Underrated | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 12 | She’s Gone d’Wild | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1A | 15 | Casual Pleasure | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Decadent Diamond | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 7 | Money Well Spent | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Dance Away | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 11 | Foursweetnieces | 12.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Sugar Pie Street | 12.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Lone Star Diva | 12.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Star Prado | 12.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 11 | 10 | Ronnie’s Peso | 12.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 |
| 9 | 8 | Lukes Secret | 15.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 |
| 10 | 9 | Pops Shanghai | 15.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.